With the Seattle Kraken back line struggling to defend their net, negative regression looms large over Joey Daccord as he faces off against an Anaheim Ducks offense who creates high quality Shots on Goal at a high rate. Before their puck drop takes place, we turn our attention towards the St. Louis Blues team total as their underwhelming offense faces off against the Tampa Bay Lightning who excel in coverage.
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Since the start of the regular season, the Anaheim Ducks have been able to remain in contention for the Presidents’ Trophy as they are currently 21-13-2 and just 13 points back from Colorado for first. Their resurgence on offense has played a major role in their success this year as the Ducks front line ranks top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations with an average of 3.57 Expected Goals per game.
In a favorable matchup against the Seattle Kraken, expect the Ducks front line to build on their momentum as they face off against a defense who ranks 23rd in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Their lack of coverage has directly affected Joey Daccord as the Kraken goalie resides in the bottom half of the board of all qualified goalies in average Goals Against per game. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Ducks team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate overs.
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After joining the Ducks in the offseason, Chris Kreider has been able to immediately contribute as the former New York Rangers forward is averaging 0.45 Expected Goals and 2.16 Shots on Goal per game. With the Kraken back line struggling to stay in front of the puck, Kreider will be able to rifle off a higher volume of shot attempts which increases his chances of finding the back of the net.
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It has been a rough start to the year for the St. Louis Blues as they are currently 14-15-8 and in fifth place in the Central division standings. Their lack of production on offense brings in a higher amount of variance into their contests as the Blues front line ranks dead last in Expected Goals For in All Situations while only four active players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
Heading into Monday night, expect the Blues struggles on offense to continue to persist as they face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning who rank sixth overall in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.14 Expected Goals Against per game. Especially with Andrei Vasilevskiy playing at a very high level as the former Vezina Trophy award winner is averaging 2.38 Goals Against per game and a .913 Save Percentage. If Jonas Johansson gets the start instead, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Even when surrounded by an underwhelming front line, Kevin Fiala has still been able to pressure the net at a high rate as the Los Angeles Kings forward is averaging 0.34 Expected Goals per game. With the Columbus Blue Jackets ranking 30th in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Fiala will be able to generate higher quality Shots on Goal in front of the net and score his 13th goal of the season
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