With the Vancouver Canucks back line ranking near dead last in most defensive metrics, expect the Vegas Golden Knights to pressure their net at a higher rate and clear the over on their team total in the process. At the same time as their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the St. Louis Blues who will be able to keep a clean sheet by smothering the San Jose Sharks who severely underwhelm on offense.
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With less than 10 games remaining, the Vegas Golden Knights must take advantage of their favorable matchup against Vancouver if they want to remain in contention for the Pacific division title.
After failing to get the win in overtime in their last two games, the Vegas Golden Knights odds of winning the Pacific have declined, now sitting comfortably behind Anaheim in the division standings. Even during their recent struggles, their front line has still been able to thrive, ranking above league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
Luckily for the Golden Knights, they will have a great opportunity to get back in the win column on Monday night, facing off against the Vancouver Canucks who rank dead last in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Kevin Lankinen failing to protect their net as the Canucks goalie is averaging a stunning 3.65 Goals Against per game and a .876 Save Percentage.
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In his third year with the Golden Knights, Tomas Hertl has been able to play at a high level, averaging 0.45 Expected Goals per game. With the Canucks struggling to face guard when in transition, Hertl will be able to generate a higher volume of Shots on Goal in front of the net, increasing his chances of lighting the lamp.
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With the St. Louis Blues excelling in coverage, expect the San Jose Sharks to struggle to score as they lack the versatility that is needed to stretch out their back line.
After winning their last four games in a row, the St. Louis Blues odds of making the playoffs have steadily grown as they are now just four points back from Nashville for the last spot in the wildcard standings. Their suffocating coverage on defense has helped spark their turnaround, ranking in the top-10 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
In a favorable matchup against the San Jose Sharks, expect the Blues to build on their momentum as they face off against a front line who resides near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Sharks team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders at the best available odds.
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With the Toronto Maple Leafs struggling to defend their net, Cutter Gauthier is in a favorable position to score when he blitzes through their back line.
Since the start of the regular season, Cutter Gauthier has been able to pressure the net at a high rate, averaging 0.38 Expected Goals and 3.75 Shots on Goal per game. With the Toronto Maple Leafs ranking below league average in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, the width of Gauthier’s shooting lanes on the outside will widen, improving the quality of his Shots on Goal in front of the crease.
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