With the Florida Panthers struggling to shift their coverage across the ice, Brady Tkachuk is in a favorable position to score when he weaves the puck through their back line. At the same time as their puck drop, we turn our attention towards the New Jersey Devils as they face off against the New York Rangers who generate Expected Goals at a very low rate.
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With Ottawa two points back from Columbus in the Presidents’ Trophy standings, they must avoid losing to Florida on Tuesday night if they want to remain in contention for the playoffs.
After going 6-3-1 in their last ten games, the Ottawa Senators odds of making the playoffs have steadily grown, now sitting just two points back from Columbus for the last wildcard spot. Their turnaround on offense has played a major role in their resurgence, ranking in the top-10 in Expected Goals For in All Situations.
Heading into Tuesday night, the Senators will have a great opportunity to build on their momentum as they face off against the Florida Panthers who continue to trickle down the board in Expected Goals Against. Especially with Sergei Bobrovsky incapable of masking their struggles in coverage with his production in net, averaging 3.00 Goals Against per game and a .878 Save Percentage
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Since the start of the regular season, Brady Tkachuk has been one of the most aggressive forwards in the league, averaging 0.51 Expected Goals and 3.77 Shots on Goal per game. With his linemates stretching out the Panthers back line, the width of Tkachuk’s shooting lanes will widen, improving the quality of his Shots on Goal in front of the crease.
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With the New York Rangers struggling to pressure the net, the New Jersey Devils will be able to collapse their forwards to the middle, smothering their shot attempts for the full duration of the contest.
It has been an abysmal year for the New York Rangers as they are currently 30-35-9 while in last place in the Eastern Conference standings. Their lack of production on offense brings in a high amount of negative variance into their contests, fielding a front line who ranks near the bottom of the board in Expected Goals For in 5-on-5 Play.
Unfortunately for the Rangers, their struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against the New Jersey Devils who rank above league average in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. With the Rangers lacking the versatility that is needed to stretch out their coverage, the Devils will be able to keep a defender near the vicinity of their shot attempts and consistently wall them off before the puck reaches the net.
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With less than 10 games remaining, the Buffalo Sabres must avoid falling into a cold stretch of play if they want to secure the number one seed in the East.
With his linemates elevating their level of play, Tage Thompson has been able to thrive, averaging 0.43 Expected Goals per game. With the New York Islanders ranking near dead last in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots Against, Thompson will be able to generate a heavier volume of high quality shot attempts in front of the net, increasing his chances of scoring.
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