After winning their last four games in a row, the Edmonton Oilers will be able to build on their momentum on Thursday night, facing off against the Chicago Blackhawks who grade out poorly in most defensive metrics. Later in the night, expect the Calgary Flames struggles on offense to continue to persist as they battle it out against the Vegas Golden Knights who excel in coverage.
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With less than 10 games remaining, the Edmonton Oilers must build on their hot stretch of play if they want to leap over Anaheim for first in the Pacific division standings.
Since the start of the regular season, the Edmonton Oilers front line have been one of the more explosive units in the league, ranking near the top of the board in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Their versatility has played a major role in their success, fielding five players who average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
In a favorable matchup against the Chicago Blackhawks, expect the Stanley Cup contenders to continue to thrive by exploiting a defense who ranks 31st in Expected Goals Against in All Situations. Especially with Arvid Soderblom projected to get the start in net for Chicago as the Blackhawks backup goalie is averaging 3.79 Goals Against per game and a .881 Save Percentage.
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Connor McDavid has played a key role in the Oilers success this season, averaging 0.53 Expected Goals and 3.64 Shots on Goal per game. With the Blackhawks incapable of face guarding the future hall of famer, McDavid will be able to generate high quality Shots on Goal in front of the crease for the full duration of the contest, increasing his chances of scoring.
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If Vegas wants to remain in contention for the Pacific division title, then they must take advantage of their favorable matchup against Calgary on Thursday night.
After going 4-4-2 in their last ten games, the Vegas Golden Knights must rattle off a win streak if they want to close the gap between them and Anaheim in the Pacific division standings. While their offense has struggled with their consistency, their back line has been able to play at a high level, ranking in the top-3 in Expected Goals Against in All Situations.
Heading into Thursday night, the Golden Knights will have a great opportunity to chip away at the Ducks lead as they face off against the Calgary Flames who struggle to pressure the net per their below league average mark in Expected Goals For. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Flames team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders at the best available odds across multiple sportsbooks.
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With the Vancouver Canucks ranking near dead last in most defensive metrics, Kirill Kaprizov is in a great position to score to help the Minnesota Wild secure the win.
When at full health, Kirill Kaprizov has been a steady source of production for the Minnesota Wild, averaging nearly 0.50 Expected Goals per game. With the Vancouver Canucks ranking 30th in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Kaprizov will be able to generate a higher volume of shot attempts when he blitzes through their back line and score his 40th goal of the season.
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