UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer - Odds, Predictions & Picks

UFC legend and former champion Israel Adesanya faces Joe Pyfer in a crucial middleweight bout on Saturday, as the pair do battle in Seattle. Adesanya is hoping to snap a three-fight losing streak, while “Bodybagz” aims to better his solid 6-1 UFC record and become a serious contender in the division.

• Alexa Grasso meets Maycee Barber in the co-main event for a women’s flyweight bout, with a potential title fight on the cards for the victor

• Michael “Maverick” Chiesa prepares for his retirement fight in his home state against Niko Price

Below, you can explore the latest odds for UFC Fight Night 271 and take a look at our previews for each matchup.

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer - Odds

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UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer - Picks & Predictions

Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer - Middleweight Division

• Our pick: Joe Pyfer by KO/TKO (+300) at FanDuel

Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber - Women’s Flyweight Division

• Our pick: Maycee Barber by Points (+115) at FanDuel

Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price - Welterweight Division

• Our pick: Michael Chiesa by Submission (-115) at FanDuel

Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas - Featherweight Division

• Our pick: Julian Erosa by Submission (+650) at FanDuel

Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Yousri Belgaroui - Middleweight Division

• Our pick: Mansur Abdul-Malik (-125) at FanDuel

Terrence McKinney vs. Kyle Nelson - Lightweight Division

• Our pick: Terrence McKinney by KO/TKO (+190) at FanDuel

Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer - Middleweight Division

Heading into his 30th professional MMA fight, “Stylebender” is on a three-fight skid, suffering losses to Sean Strickland, Dricus du Plessis, and Nassourdine Imavov. He hasn’t won since April 2023 when he knocked out Alex Pereira at UFC 287, and the 36-year-old is far from his glory days. Despite Adesanya’s recent woes, he’s still ranked inside the Top 5 and is the -158 favorite with FanDuel for this fight.

Top 15 candidate Pyfer has picked up a bit of momentum heading into this bout, winning his last three straight fights. His resume is a little underwhelming, however, and he did lose to Jack Hermansson just over two years ago, with question marks being raised regarding his cardio. Still, Pyfer managed to submit Abusupiyan Magomedov in the second round of his last fight and has the power to finish Adesanya here.

While he may not be at championship-level now at this stage of his career, New Zealander Adesanya is a former two-time middleweight champ and his past record demands respect. He’ll need to control the distance and avoid big shots if he is to beat Pyfer, as the 29-year-old could deliver a heavy blow to end this fight early.

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Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber - Women’s Flyweight Division

Without a win across her last three fights, former women’s flyweight champ Grasso will be hoping to get back in the win column this weekend. She’s the +146 underdog with FanDuel, as she takes on Barber who has won her last seven consecutive fights.

“The Future” did suffer a defeat against Grasso back in February 2021, losing by unanimous decision, but she hasn’t lost a single bout since then. Her last fight saw her beat Karine Silva by unanimous decision at UFC 323 last December.

Mexican fighter Grasso won the flyweight title by submitting Valentina Shevchenko in March 2023, and she managed to retain it in a draw in September later that year. However, Shevchenko finally won the belt at UFC 306. Grasso was unable to bounce back, losing to Natalia Silva in her most recent bout last May.

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Michael Chiesa vs. Niko Price - Welterweight Division

Chiesa enters the Octagon for the final time on Saturday, taking on Niko Price in a welterweight bout. The 38-year-old veteran is the massive -800 favorite with FanDuel for the last fight of his career, and enters the bout on a three-fight winning streak. He last beat Court McGee by unanimous decision back in June 2025.

Price is taking on the fight at the last minute after replacing Carlston Harris who had to withdraw. Prospects don’t look good for the 36-year-old, as he has lost five of his last six encounters, and was knocked out by Nikolay Veretennikov less than two months ago.

“Maverick” submitted both Tony Ferguson and Max Griffin prior to his victory over McGee, and has an impressive 7-3 record at welterweight. “The Hybrid” is set for another tough matchup.

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Julian Erosa vs. Lerryan Douglas - Featherweight Division

It’s a night filled with veterans as 36-year-old Julian Erosa meets Lerryan Douglas in a featherweight bout. The former is hoping to bounce back from a loss to Melquizael Costa, while the latter is making his UFC promotional debut after finishing Cam Teague after just 36 seconds in Dana White’s Contender Series last September.

“Gunslinger” is on a five-fight win streak and will be hunting for the early finish, meaning we could have a very entertaining fight on our hands. He’s the -340 favorite with FanDuel, but Erosa should not be taken lightly, as he is very experienced in the UFC and boasts a solid 8-4 record with the promotion.

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Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Yousri Belgaroui - Middleweight Division

Unbeaten in the UFC, Abdul-Malik squares off against Belgaroui, who is searching for his second victory since joining the promotion. Abdul-Malik has won three of his four UFC bouts so far, including a first-round submission against Antonio Trocoli in his last fight. He’s the slight -125 favorite with FanDuel.

This one is expected to be close, and Belgaroui has had to be patient to reach this stage. A loss against Marco Tulio in August 2023 in Dana White’s Contender Series meant he had to wait another year for an opportunity. He took that chance after beating Taiga Iwasaki, before securing a knockout triumph over Azamat Bekoev in his UFC debut last October.

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Terrence McKinney vs. Kyle Nelson - Lightweight Division

Two UFC vets open up the main card this weekend. McKinney is the -180 favorite with FanDuel, and will be hoping to return to winning ways after losing in the first round by submission against Chris Duncan in his last bout. None of his fights have made the distance thus far, and McKinney will be looking to strike early in this one.

Nelson has hit a good streak of late, winning four of his last five bouts. He was finished in the first round by Steve Garcia in September 2024, but bounced back with a win over Matt Frevola last October. “The Monster” most likely has the upper hand if the fight reaches past the opening round.

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How to Watch UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

• Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, Washington, United States

• When: Saturday, March 28

• Time: 8:00 PM ET

• How: Paramount+