UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy - Odds, Predictions & Picks

The UFC heads to London, United Kingdom this Saturday as Mosvar Evloev takes on Lerone Murphy in the headline event. The winner looks set to be the next challenger for the featherweight title, making it a pivotal bout in the division.

• Unbeaten Evloev will meet fellow undefeated contender Murphy in the Octagon for the main event

• The featherweight division takes centre stage once again in the co-maint event as Luke Riley squares off against Michael Aswell Jr.

You can find the current betting odds for this weekend’s UFC Fight Night 270 card below alongside a fight-by-fight breakdown.

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy - Odds

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UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy - Picks & Predictions

Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy - Featherweight Division

• Our pick: Mosvar Evloev by Points (-115) at FanDuel

Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell Jr. - Featherweight Division

• Our pick: Luke Riley by KO/TKO (+240) at FanDuel

Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson - Welterweight Division

• Our pick: Michael Page by Points (+210) at FanDuel

Iwo Baraniewski vs. Austen Lane - Light Heavyweight Division

• Our pick: Iwo Baraniewski by KO/TKO (-195) at FanDuel

Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan - Middleweight Division

• Our pick: Christian Leroy Duncan by Points (+155) at FanDuel

Kurtis Campbell vs. Danny Silva - Featherweight Division

• Our pick: Danny Silva (+182) at FanDuel

Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy - Featherweight Division

Going 19-0-0 across his career and 9-0 in the UFC, it’s no wonder that Russian fighter Evloev is the No.1 ranked contender in the featherweight division behind champion Alexander Volkanovski. The 32-year-old is currently a -260 favorite with FanDuel for this bout.

The incredible hot streak for Evloev includes triumphs over Dan Ige, Diego Lopes, Arnold Allen and former UFC Bantamweight champion Aljamain Sterling. He’s won all of his UFC fights by decision thus far and is an elite wrestler, controlling his fights on the mat.

Murphy will be a tough matchup for Evloev, however, as the Mancunian is also undefeated. His run includes notable victories over Edson Barboza, Dan Ige, Josh Emmett, and Aaron Pico. The No. 3 ranked contender secured a stunning knockout finish against Pico, winning with a spinning back elbow in the first round. His best chance at winning this fight will be to finish Evloev and try and limit the takedowns as much as possible.

This will be an intriguing matchup that has significant implications on the featherweight division. One fighter is set to lose their unbeaten record, while the other will earn a shot at the title against Volkanovski.

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Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell Jr. - Featherweight Division

Another unbeaten fighter in Luke Riley will meet Michael Aswell Jr. in the co-main event this Saturday, and he’ll be looking to go 13-0-0, utilizing his home advantage as his opponent makes the journey across the Atlantic. Riley is the -295 favorite with FanDuel, with many sportsbooks backing him to take a big step in the featherweight division.

Training in the same camp as Paddy Pimblett, Riley has a strong foundation of support. He plied his trade in Cage Warriors without a loss on his record and made a strong impression in his UFC debut after securing a second-round finish against Bogdan Gran.

“The Texas Kid” enters this bout on the back of a victory over Lucas Almeida, securing the knockout in under two minutes. Aswell Jr. suffered a defeat against Riley’s most recent opponent Gran in Dana White’s Contender Series just under two years ago and did lose in his UFC debut against Bolaji Oki last May. That explains why he’s the +220 underdog with FanDuel here.

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Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson - Welterweight Division

Looking for his third straight victory, Michael Page is the -186 favorite with FanDuel for his bout with Sam Patterson on Saturday. “MVP” won his last two fights by unanimous decision against Sharabutdin Magomedov and Jared Cannonier last year, and the No. 13 contender will hope to lean on his experience against Patterson.

The 29-year-old welterweight won’t be an easy opponent for Page, nonetheless, who is currently on a four-fight win streak in the UFC. He has secured first-round stoppages in all of those victories, submitting both Yohan Lainesse and Kiefer Crosbie before finishing Danny Barlow and Trey Waters.

After switching from lightweight to welterweight since his knockout loss to Yanal Ashmouz in 2023, Patterson has earned a shot at the Top 15. The question is: Can he take another step and dispatch “MVP” or will Page’s speed and accuracy see him come out on top?

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Iwo Baraniewski vs. Austen Lane - Light Heavyweight Division

Undefeated Iwo Baraniewski is the huge -620 favorite with FanDuel against Austen Lane for UFC London. The Polish fighter impressed in his promotional debut back in December, securing a 90-second knockout against Ibo Aslan. All seven of his fights have yet to go beyond the first round, meaning he’ll be looking for another fast start and quick finish here.

As for opponent Austen Lane, the former NFL player’s recent record does not make for good reading. Since entering the UFC in 2023, he’s won just one of his six fights, losing his last two back-to-back against Mario Pinto and Vitor Petrino.

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Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan - Middleweight Division

Coming off a loss against Anthony Hernandez, Roman Dolidze is the +330 underdog with FanDuel for his bout against Christian Leroy Duncan. Duncan appears to have the upper hand in the stand-up game, landing 4.6 significant strikes per minute compared to Dolidze’s 3.41.

Georgian fighter Dolidze is a strong grappler, and will be looking to use that to his advantage, but Duncan’s 69% takedown defense works in his favor for this matchup. Duncan is on a three-fight win streak heading into this bout, so it makes sense why he’s the -480 favorite with FanDuel.

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Kurtis Campbell vs. Danny Silva - Featherweight Division

Kurtis Campbell will make his UFC debut on Saturday night after defeating Demba Seck with a first-round KO in Dana White’s Contender Series last October. He’s the -240 favorite with FanDuel. Campbell has won all eight of his fights as a pro, securing finishes in all but two contests, including five knockouts.

Having already fought three times in the UFC, Silva has more experience to draw from in this bout. Both of his wins, however, have been by split decision against Josh Culibao and Lucas Almeida. He then lost by unanimous decision to Kevin Vallejos in his most recent fight.

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How to Watch UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy

• Location: O2 Arena, London, United Kingdom

• When: Saturday, March 21

• Time: 1:00 PM ET

• How: Paramount+