LIV Golf Chicago Predictions: Stick With Niemann

• Bryson DeChambeau is the pre-tournament favorite

• Spain’s Jon Rahm defends the title

• This is the penultimate individual tournament of the schedule

LIV Golf Chicago Odds

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LIV Golf Chicago Picks and Predictions

• Joaquin Niemann to win at +800 with BetMGM

• Paul Casey each way at +3500 with Caesars Sportsbook

• Harold Varner III to make the top 20 at -125 with bet365

LIV Golf Chicago Intro

Why is Chicago special? Amazing jazz, a great marathon, and deep dish pizza are three very good reasons.

For LIV Golf, however, the city is unique because it is the only one to have hosted a tournament in all four of its seasons.

This year LIV Chicago is the penultimate event to count for the individual standings and it is therefore vital to the future aspirations of the golfers. 

Joaquin Niemann, who has won five times in 2025, is a virtual lock for the Individual Championship, but there is much else to be decided: the Lock Zone, the Open Zone, and the Drop Zone positions, as well as the seeding for the Team Championship.

Jon Rahm can breathe a little life into the Individual Championship if he repeats last year and wins.

But, even were that to happen, he has to hope that Niemann starts playing below average golf and there is little likelihood of that happening.

Let’s take a closer look at the task ahead of the field.

Top 10 at Bolingbrook Golf Club in 2024

Bolingbrook Golf Club Notes

• The course is a par 71 that plays to 7,224 yards

• It was designed by Arthur Hills and Steve Forrest

• There are seven lakes on the property

• The putting surfaces feature bent and poa annua grass

• Bogey Avoidance and Greens in Regulation were the key stats in 2024

Contenders to Win LIV Golf Chicago

Bryson DeChambeau (+500) at bet365

It was a curious July for the big hitter who labored to T30 in LIV Andalucia and then got off a terrible start in the British Open. He was T144 after 18 holes only to race through the field for what was eventually a brilliant T10. He was, however, then a little flat when T11 at LIV UK. He was sixth at Bolingbrook last year.

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Jon Rahm (+550)at bet365

The Spaniard couldn’t defend his LIV UK title last time out in England, but he closed with a 65 to rack up yet another top 10 finish. He got off to a slow start at Bolingbrook last year with a 69 for T11 before closing with rounds of 64 and 65 to land his second win of the year. He’ll want to win again soon because he hasn’t won anywhere in the world since then.

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Tyrrell Hatton (+900) at bet365

The Englishman was in the hunt for the Claret Jug after 18, 36 and 54 holes, but a final round 72 saw him slip back to T16. On either side of that effort, he failed to break the top 20 in either LIV Andalucia or LIV UK. At Bolingbrook last year, he made an even slower start than Rahm (T38) before carding two 65s to finish fourth.

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Stick with Niemann

No mention of the Chilean star Joaquin Niemann in the Contenders, and that’s because he really needs to be backed when he consistently outperforms Rahm, DeChambeau, and Hatton when it comes to the business of winning.

Rahm has two wins on the circuit, DeChambeau has three, and Hatton has one.

Niemann? He has seven in all - and five of them this season alone.

He was also second at LIV Chicago last year. So, it’s not as if he doesn’t have good vibes this week.

He carded two 68s to end rounds one and two in fourth place and closed with a 66 for second. 

Back him to win with BetMGM offering +700.

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Casey a Good Fit

The Englishman Paul Casey is a great fit for the Bolingbrook test.

It’s a tougher test than many LIV Golf courses, and, as such, just hitting as many greens in regulation as possible matters.

Casey ranks sixth in that category this year, and his recent form is even better - he actually led the entire field at LIV Dallas last month.

That week, he was only denied victory in extra holes, and he was also third with 18 holes to play when T11 last time out at LIV UK.

While he finished T13 at Bollingbrook last year, he was second after 18 holes following an opening 66.

Back him each way at +3500 with Caesars Sportsbook.

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Varner Can Make the First Page

This season Harold Varner III is 4-for-8 at making the top 20 when LIV plays internationally.

But he is a rock-solid 3-for-3 at finishing top 20 when LIV plays in the United States.

He also finished T13 at Bolingbrook in 2024 - so he’s translated that form to this very test.

And it makes sense because he is a greens in regulation machine, ranking fourth in the category this season.

Keep it simple and take the +125 for another top 20 with bet365.

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How to Watch LIV Golf Chicago

• Tournament: LIV Golf Chicago

• Location: Bolingbrook Golf Club, Chicago, Illinois

• Date: Friday, August 8 - Sunday, August 10

• How to Watch: On the LIV Golf app, Fox Sports in the US, ITVX in the UK, and the Seven Network in Australia.