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Daniel Berger is a strong each-way prospect at +2200 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Patton Kizzire’s run of form can land another top 20 at +275 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
Back former winner Brian Gay to make the top 30 with DraftKings Sportsbook at +200.
Daniel Berger outright +2200 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Patton Kizzie to make the top 20 +275 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Brian Gay to finish in the top 30 +200 at DraftKings Sportsbook
|Mayakoba Golf Classic Information|
|What||Mayakoba Golf Classic|
|Where||El Camaleon, Mexico|
|When||Thursday, December 3 – Sunday, December 6|
|How to watch||Thursday, Friday & Saturday 2pm & 8.30pm ET (Golf Channel), Sunday 4.30pm & 7.30pm ET (Golf Channel). All four days on Sky Sports.|
When this tournament was first added to the PGA Tour in 2007 it was something of a fringe event, but the quality of the course and the importance of the Fall schedule has seen it rise in prominence. This year, if the betting is to be believed, there is also the enticing prospect of a thrilling head-to-head between Justin Thomas and Brooks Koepka, two of the sport’s finest performers. Both have played the course just once, over six years ago when beginning their journeys to the top of the game, but there are plenty of good reasons to expect a strong challenge from the pair of them.
Thomas is a past winner at Waialae in Hawaii, a course with many similarities to El Camaleon and he also boasts a stunning record in the World Golf Championship event held in Mexico, landing a top ten in all five of his starts.
Koepka, meanwhile, is a winner and two-time runner-up at TPC Southwind, another layout with much in common with this week’s venue. This time last year Brendon Todd completed back-to-back victories on Tour, winning here a few weeks after he triumphed in the Bermuda Championship, and he warmed up for his defense with four sub-70 scores in the RSM Classic in his last start two weeks ago.
In the same tournament we tipped both a play-off and a good week for Kevin Kisner leading to tasty profits when he finished second after extra holes – here’s hoping for more of the same this week.
The list of winners at El Camaleon is not to be overlooked ahead of any consideration of the man most likely to join their club. It’s a roster of canny operators who own a straight long game that has been highlighted by a proven record on tight courses with Bermuda or Paspalum grass greens and a blustery wind. It’s a profile that neatly fits one of 2020’s finest performers – 27-year-old American Daniel Berger.
The Florida man first introduced himself to the wider world with back-to-back victories at TPC Southwind in 2016 and 2017 – a course that two past champions at El Camaleon have also won on.
Ahead of this year he also had second-place finishes at the Honda Classic and Puerto Rico Open, two more tests that resemble this week’s examination. Furthermore, his results this season have re-emphasized his skill-set. He was fourth at the Honda Classic, third in The Heritage at Harbour Town, and second back at TPC Southwind. He was last seen finishing T17th at the Zozo Championship and famously received no invitation to the Masters, a consequence of the tournament being delayed from April.
It’s an omission from his diary that must have stung so he’ll be keen to prove a point and he has plenty of decent memories of Mexico to further fuel him. He’s always finished in the top 20 there in the WGC event and although he was T51st in his only previous course appearance he did open with a very fine round of 65 that earned him a share of the first-round advantage.
Six years on he can hang around the top of the leaderboard all week and is rated a standout +2200 win/+500 place with DraftKings Sportsbook/bet365.
After a promising start to the 2019 season 34-year-old, Patton Kizzire descended into a form-funk that lasted throughout most of 2020, but in the last few months, he has begun to find another gear. He started by just making the cut at Corales and Jackson – they were minor triumphs and yet something to build on. He did just that, finishing T25th in Las Vegas and then really hitting his straps with T11th at the Houston Open and tied tenth in the RSM Classic at Sea Island.
That latter result was especially instructive because the conditions there are similar to this week and there’s absolutely no doubt that he likes grainy greens, an accurate test, and playing in a breeze by the sea.
In fact, he’s not just a winner at Waialae, he’s also a former winner of this tournament.
“It’s a wonderful golf course and I love it here,” he said when defending the trophy. “It was such a boost to my career, I’ll always enjoy coming back.”
Bang in-form and well-suited by the test, he can make the top 20 at +275 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
The last time Brian Gay was in action he was scuppering this column’s +8000 shot Wyndham Clark in extra holes at the Bermuda Championship. It was a stunning performance by the 48-year-old veteran and it would be something of a surprise if he emulated Brendon Todd in completing that particular double, but another strong week is far from out of the question. It’s not only that Bermuda was an excellent primer for this week, it’s also that Gay is, like Kizzire, a former winner at El Camaleon.
But even more persuasive is the fact that Gay has a very consistent record down the years in this event, logging six top 30s in ten visits.
That makes the +200 on offer at DraftKings Sportsbook for another top 30 excellent value – snap it up.
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Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics. Email: [email protected]More info on Matt Cooper
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