WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Predictions, Odds & Picks

  • The tournament returns to the schedule after being canceled last year 
  • Austin Country Club in Texas hosts for the fifth time
  • Kevin Kisner captured the last edition to be staged when winning in 2019

WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Odds

PlayerOdds
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
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Dustin Johnson+1400
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Justin Thomas+1400
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Jon Rahm+1500
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Rory McIlroy+2000
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Collin Morikawa+2000
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Patrick Cantlay+2200
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Paul Casey+2600
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Jordan Spieth+2600
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Tony Finau+2800
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Viktor Hovland+2800
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WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Odds Our Picks

Jon Rahm is a former finalist at Austin CC and his high-class consistency makes the Spaniard a good bet to lift the trophy at +1500 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Kevin Na topped his group last time and is a value bet to take down an out-of-sorts Dustin Johnson, Robert MacIntyre, and Adam Long and win Group 1 at +375 with bet365

Fast starter Russell Henley is riding a hot putter and is a value bet to beat Sungjae Im on day one. Back him to win their 18-hole match at +138 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

Picks:

Jon Rahm to win at +1500 with DraftKings Sportsbook

Kevin Na to win Group 1 (v Johnson, MacIntyre and Long) at +375 with bet365

Russell Henley to beat Sungjae Im on day one at +138 with DraftKings Sportsbook

WGC Dell Technologies Match Play

WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Information
WhatWGC Dell Technologies Match Play
WhereAustin Country Club, Austin, TX
WhenWednesday, March 24 – Sunday, March 28
How to WatchWednesday to Friday 2pm-8pm ET (Golf Channel), Saturday 10am-2pm (Golf Channel), 2pm-6pm (NBC). Sunday 10am-2pm (Golf Channel), 3pm-7pm (NBC). All 4 days on Sky Sports

WGC Dell Technologies Match Play Profile

After being canceled in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the PGA Tour’s annual test of mano a mano returns to Austin Country Club in Texas.

The event had long stints in California and Arizona but moved to its current location in 2016 when Aussie Jason Day hoisted the silverware.

But since then: American dominance.

Dustin Johnson, Bubba Watson, and Kevin Kisner were the respective winners in 2017, 2018, and 2019 while the last two finals have been all-American affairs.

Kisner lost in the Championship match three years ago before going one better in 2019 where he saw off compatriot Matt Kuchar. In theory, this is a battle between the top 64 players on the world ranking but there are several omissions this time with Tiger Woods, Brooks Koepka, Gary Woodland, Justin Rose, and Adam Scott all absent

Austin Country Club is a short 7,108-yard par 71 designed by the legendary Pete Dye. It’s believed to be the oldest club in Texas.

In terms of playability, Kisner said a few years ago: “You can hit low bullets here that roll forever.” That helps explain why he and fellow short hitter Kuchar were able to gun down the big hitters and reach the final two years ago.

As for the format, the field is divided into 16 four-man groups. They go head-to-head in round-robin play over the first three days, ensuring that no-one goes home early. One point is awarded for a win while it’s half a point for a tie. If two or more players are tied after all three matches, there is a sudden death strokeplay tie-breaker to decide who progresses. On the weekend, Saturday stages the round of 16 and quarter-final matches while the semis, final and third-place playoff takes place Sunday. All these matches are 18 holes unless tied.

Tiger is a three-time winner of the event while the only other two players with multiple victories are Aussies Jason Day and Geoff Ogilvy. Both have won it twice.

Rahm Can Rev up for Augusta With Texas Triumph

Winning this event isn’t about playing brilliantly all the way through. It’s about holding a high level and avoiding the bad day/round that kills you.

Jon Rahm has perhaps displayed more high-level consistency than anyone in the field over the last four months. The Spaniard’s tied ninth in The Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass represented a sixth top 10 in his last eight starts. The other two were tied 13th and tied 32nd. Rahm can also bring tournament/course forms to the table. The 26-year-old won his group with a 3-0-0 record in 2017 and made it all the way to the final before being taken down by DJ at the last hole.

It hasn’t gone as well the last two years but he remains a fearsome opponent for anyone. This year, Rahm (No.4 seed) has been drawn in Group 3 with Ryan Palmer (No.24), Shane Lowry (No.38) and Sebastian Munoz (No.56). It’s far from easy but find me a group that is. He has DJ, Justin Thomas, and Bryson DeChambeau in his half of the draw but it’s a huge presumption to say he’ll meet any of them.

Rahm can be a beast when on a roll and Spanish players have always had that added ‘X’ factor when it comes to matching play.

Take him at +1500 with DraftKings Sportsbook.

NA Can Take Down DJ

Kisner’s record in this event shows that we shouldn’t be afraid of a shortie. And with World No.1 Johnson struggling in his last two starts, Group 1 could be wide open.

DJ finished T54 and T48 in his two Florida Swing starts and different parts of his game malfunctioned at different times.

Na topped his group in 2019, taking down countrymen Jordan Spieth, Billy Horschel, and Bubba Watson (the latter, like Johnson, a past winner), and has a strong record on Pete Dye tracks. If Na can get past Johnson, he’ll fancy his chances against Scotland’s Robert MacIntyre and Adam Long, seeded 41st and 61st respectively.

Both are playing at Austin CC for the first time and both are coming in off a missed cut in Florida. Na has a great record in Texas with a win and three other top sixes in his last six starts so he’s a value bet at +375 to win Group 1.

Henley looks like the pick on opening day. Those looking for a good outsider in Wednesday’s opening head-to-heads should look no further than Russell Henley, who takes on Korea’s Sungjae Im.

Group 16 is a tough one, with Aussie Marc Leishman and Frenchman Victor Perez both in with realistic shouts of coming out on top. A fast start is vital and Henley is certainly used to doing that this season. The evidence: he ranks 7th for R1 Scoring on the PGA Tour.

He showed just that in last week’s Honda Classic when bursting out of the gate with 64 and a closing 68 at PGA National gave him a share of third place. Henley plays well in Texas as evidenced by a win in the 2017 Houston Open while he ranked 1st for Strokes Gained: Putting last week. Coming into a match play event with a hot blade is always highly recommended.

Im is obviously a fine opponent and in solid form after a top 10 last week.  But he’s seeing the course for the first time, isn’t as fast a starter as Henley, and, in truth, the betting should be closer over an 18-hole sprint.

Take Henley for the win at +138.

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Dave Tindall

Expert on Golf

Dave Tindall is former golf editor at SkySports.com and Golf365.com and has been writing betting previews for the PGA Tour and European Tour since 1997. He has also written for a range of betting companies, including William Hill and Betfair, as well as being a regular columnist for Rotoworld, The Guardian, Sporting Life and Planet Sport. His other area of speciality is football while he's also covered cricket and tennis.



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