Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Aaron Judge Leads Group of Familiar Faces for Tuesday’s Props

Monday wasn’t our best effort, but we’re not going to let that deter us. After all, we crushed it last week, so our confidence is still high. On Tuesday, we’re going back to some familiar faces, both in players whom we’re backing and those we are choosing to fade.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Cardinals vs. Phillies (6:45 PM, EST)

Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases

Sonny Gray starting for St. Louis is usually bad news for the opposing team. But that’s not the case with Turner, who is 9 for 23 (.391) with two extra-base hits in his career against Gray. He’s also batting .306 on the season, including .360 thus far in May. Before cooling off the past couple of days, Turner had a streak of five straight games with multiple hits and seven multi-hit games in a nine-game stretch.

It’s not farfetched to think he can get back on track with multiple hits or get an extra-base hit on Tuesday, especially considering his past success against Gray.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Pirates vs. Mets (7:10 PM, EST)

Mitch Keller Over 5.5 Hits Allowed

Keller has been getting hit hard lately. He’s allowed 15 hits in 11 innings of work across his last two starts. To be fair, he’s only allowed more than 5.5 hits in four of his eight starts. But with a tough matchup on Tuesday against the Mets, this is a good time to fade Keller, especially since this bet has plus-odds. The Mets have a deep and unforgiving lineup, which will be a challenge for Keller.

They’re also heating up offensively, going 4-1 in their last five games, averaging 5.8 runs per game during that stretch. The Mets have also been great at home this season, so they should give a mediocre pitcher like Keller a hard time.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Rockies vs. Rangers (8:05 PM, EST)

Kyle Freeland Over 2.5 ER

This bet doesn’t have the most lucrative odds, but it’s usually an easy win to fade Freeland. The lefty has given up at least three earned runs in five of his last six starts. The only time he didn’t, Freeland was forced to leave the game after just two innings. His last time out, the Tigers knocked him around for nine runs (five earned) on 11 hits over three innings. While this game is on the road, there are no signs that Freeland is ready to turn things around. He also has a dreadful track record against several members of the Rangers.

The entire Texas roster is a combined 30 for 56 (.536) against Freeland, which makes it easy to fade him on Tuesday.

Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Yankees vs. Mariners (9:40 PM, EST)

Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Total Bases

Judge continues to have the most incredible of seasons, even by his standards. We were surprised to get even odds on this bet, but since we did, we have to take it. To be fair, Judge’s average briefly dipped below .500, but with eight hits in his last three games, he’s up to .414. Going back to April, there are just two games in his last 15 games that Judge failed to collect more than 1.5 total bases.

While Bryan Woo is a reasonably tough matchup for him, Judge is 2 for 5 with a double in his career against Seattle’s starter, so there’s no reason not to back Judge to stay hot.

Max Fried to Record Win

Fried was denied a win in his last start, but he was the winning pitcher in six consecutive starts before that. He’s been lights out all season, with the Yankees going 8-0 in the games he’s started. Fried has pitched at least six innings in six straight starts, only allowing more than one run in one of those six starts.

As long as he gets some run support, Fried is poised to win another game on Tuesday. It also helps that the Mariners have lost four in a row and six of their last eight games, so the chances of Fried getting the win are far better than the odds indicate.

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