MLB’s unofficial rivalry weekend continues on Saturday. The matchups are too juicy that we couldn’t help but scour the games for prop bets. Luckily, we were able to find a few that we think are going to hit.
Saturday’s odds are from bet365 Sportsbook, which is always a safe bet to have a large collection of prop bets and competitive odds for MLB prop bets. It’s also perfect for new customers, who will have a choice between $150 in bonus bets or a safety net of up to $1,000 on their first wager.
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It’s a little puzzling why Jung has such favorable odds to get just one hit. He’s batting .291, and not only does he have at least one hit in six of his last seven games, but he has four multi-hit games during that stretch. Also, while it’s a small sample size, he’s 3 for 3 with a double and a home run in his career against Houston starter Ronel Blanco. Considering all of those factors, Jung should have much shorter odds to have just one hit on Saturday, making this bet a no-brainer. It’s also not a bad idea to sprinkle in some more aggressive bets involving Jung’s performance.
On the other end of the spectrum, Walker is the ideal hitter to fade on Saturday, especially with plus-odds for him to go hitless. To be fair, Walker was 2 for 4 with a home run on Friday. However, that came on the heels of four straight hitless games for Walker. Even with a hot streak earlier this month, he’s still only batting .210, so another hitless game isn’t out of the question for him. The kicker is that Walker is 0 for 7 with three strikeouts in his career against Tyler Mahle. Despite a productive game on Friday, this isn’t a good matchup for Walker, which is why there is value in fading him.
Speaking of Mahle, he might be the best starting pitcher the Rangers have had this season, which is saying something on a staff that has Jacob deGrom and Nathan Eovaldi. He’s 4-1 with a 1.47 ERA through nine starts. Mahle has also allowed five hits or fewer in all but one of his starts. In fact, he’s allowed four hits or fewer in all but two of his outings. We would have been happy to take bet on under 4.5 hits allowed, so getting the option to take under 5.5 hits allowed is another no-brainer. The entire Houston roster has just 10 hits in 46 total at-bats against Mahle. That’s an average of .217, which is another reason to back Mahle against the inconsistent Astros.
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There’s no way we can let Marquez take the mound without fading him. To his credit, he threw seven strong innings, allowing just one run, in his last outing to earn his first win of the season. But he also allowed a minimum of five runs in five consecutive outings before last Sunday’s gem. The real Marquez is the guy who’s been hit so hard this season that he owns an 8.27 ERA. The Diamondbacks have also scored at least six runs in three straight games, including eight in Friday’s win over the Rockies. The Arizona lineup is clicking right now, making the D’Backs a safe bet to do some damage against Marquez.
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We haven’t targeted Ohtani a lot this season, but he might be our favorite prop target for Saturday. In theory, the matchup against Tyler Anderson is a tough one for Ohtani and the Dodgers. However, Ohtani is 4 for 7 in his career against Anderson, with three doubles and a home run. Even in a small sample size, how is that even possible? Oddly enough, Ohtani has been far better against left-handed pitching this season, batting .352 against southpaws, albeit with less power. Plus, with Ohtani collecting multiple bases in 11 of 14 games this month, this feels like a safe bet.
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