Tuesday is one of the more unusual days for prop bets. For starters, we found five bets we like that all have plus odds. We also found some less popular bets, targeting both a pitcher and a hitter for walk-related props. But in the end, we think we have a great set of prop bets for Tuesday’s MLB games.
Patrick Corbin starts for the Rangers on Tuesday, and since he’s had a decent season, we’re not going to fade him directly. However, we’ll indirectly fade Corbin by backing Bellinger to have a big game. Surprisingly, Bellinger is 9 for 23 (.391) in his career against Corbin. He’s also crushing lefties this season, batting .387 with an OPS of 1.110 against southpaws. Those numbers give us confidence that Bellinger will be able to collect multiple bases against Corbin and the Texas bullpen.
Keep in mind that Bellinger has a 13-game hitting streak, with an extra-base hit in five straight games, helping him collect multiple bases nine times during his 13-game hitting streak. That’s another reason why we can’t pass up these odds on Bellinger going over 1.5 total bases once again.
This prop bet is somewhat unusual, but the odds are too good to pass up. With a 4.61 ERA, Warren has had mixed results this season. But he’s pitched better lately, in part because he hasn’t hurt himself, issuing just one walk in back-to-back starts. Warren has a chance to keep that going against the Rangers, who have drawn the third-fewest walks in the majors this season.
If the Texas lineup continues to be aggressive, it will play into Warren’s hands, and he’ll avoid walking multiple batters yet again.
Skull has been racking up strikeouts like crazy lately. He’s gone over 7.5 strikeouts in four straight starts, amassing at least 11 strikeouts in three of those four starts. In fact, Skubal has gone over 7.5 strikeouts in six of his nine starts this season. Amazingly, the total isn’t higher or the odds shorter, so the value in this bet is too good to pass up. To be fair, the Cardinals are hard to strike out, averaging just 7.5 strikeouts per game, which is probably keeping the over/under low.
However, most of the St. Louis lineup has never faced Skubal before, which should give him enough of an edge to record another high strikeout total.
This is another unusual bet, but it makes sense, especially given the odds. While Torkelson doesn’t walk that much, he’s walked five times in his last five games. At the same time, Erick Fedde can’t stop walking people. He walked four batters in his last start and has issued at least three walks in six of his last eight starts. Torkelson hits further down the order, giving him less protection than Gleyber Torres or Riley Greene.
That means Fedde will be more willing to pitch around Torkelson and face the bottom of Detroit’s order, putting Torkelson in a position to draw at least one walk in this game.
Multiple members of the Phillies have put up good numbers against Senzatela in the past, as the entire Philadelphia roster is hitting a combined .362 with an OPS of .959 against him. But rather than target multiple Phillies, we’ll just fade Senzatela. Obviously, giving up more than 3.5 earned runs is a high threshold for any pitcher. But Senzatela has done that in four straight starts and six of his last seven outings. He’s 1-7 with a 6.39 ERA on the season, although his ERA at Coors Field is even higher at 7.65.
Given his recent performances, it’d be shocking if the Phillies don’t knock him around at Coors Field, so we’ll happily take this bet with plus-odds.
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