MLB Cy Young Odds & Predictions 2025: Expect Tarik Skubal to Bounce Back in a Big Way

• The Detroit Tigers' Tarik Skubal has conceded a combined 7 Earned Runs in his last two games

• The Pittsburgh Pirates' Paul Skenes is listed as the betting favorite to win the NL Cy Young award

• Pittsburgh’s defense ranks top-12 in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage

The MLB has transformed into a pitchers league over the past couple of years as there are seemingly more elite pitchers than ever before who are capable of shutting down opposing offenses on a nightly basis. This movement has turned the race for the Cy Young awards into one of the more exciting spectacles in the sport as one successful or detrimental performance can make or break someone's chances of winning the award.

MLB Cy Young Award 2025 Odds

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AL Cy Young Award Odds

NL Cy Young Award Odds

Cy Young Award Predictions

With Tarik Skubal struggling in his past few outings, Garrett Crochet has seen the gap between him and the Detroit Tigers ace shrink for the top spot on the oddsboard. While Crochet has managed to play at a high level, he will need Skubal to prolong his slump as the reigning AL Cy Young winner still leads him in ERA, WHIP, and in FIP. Even if you made a wager on Skubal to win the award earlier in the year at a favorable number, pass on hedging your bet.

In the NL, Paul Skenes is still listed as the betting to win the award as the former NL Rookie of the Year winner leads the league in ERA and in FIP. His back end has played a major role in his success this season as the Pittsburgh Pirates defense ranks above league average in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage. His position at the top of the oddsboard is far from safe as Zack Wheeler has managed to rival him in most key metrics.

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MLB Cy Young Winner - My Pick

Tarik Skubal (-375) at BetMGM Sportsbook

It has been a forgettable stretch of play for Tarik Skubal after giving up a combined 11 Hits and 7 Earned Runs in his last two outings. Fortunately for Skubal, positive regression looms large as he faces off against the Minnesota Twins who rank below league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Should the Tigers ace bounce back in a big way by putting together a dominant performance, then expect his odds to win the award to skyrocket.

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How to Bet on the MLB Cy Young Winner

The Cy Young award market is one of the more volatile betting markets in the sport as one successful or poor outing can drastically shake up the oddsboard. In order to be successful and make a profit betting on the award, you need to build a diverse portfolio and place wagers on pitchers who are in a position to strengthen their claim for the award before doing so.

Whether that is throwing some darts on some long shots before the season starts and hedging out them when a favorite gets off to a hot start, or vice versa, you will need to consistently keep an eye on the market to take advantage of the best possible odds. In Tarik Skubal’s case, place a wager on him now and look to create multiple outs as the season progresses.

How to Read MLB Cy Young Odds

When placing any sort of wager, it’s important to understand how the listed odds work. If you bet on Tarik Skubal to win the Cy Young award at his preseason odds of +450, then a $100 wager would profit you $100 if he wins the award.

If you wait to see if he gets off to a hot start and is listed with a minus sign in front of his odds (-125 for example), then you would need to wager $125 to win $100. Placing wagers at the best available odds will help you churn a profit over the long run, making it vital you consistently check the market for potential hedge opportunities.

Where to Bet on the MLB Cy Young Winner

BetMGM Sportsbook has been one of the better apps to use when betting on the Cy Young award, as they usually beat out the rest of the apps in terms of best available odds. If you do not already have an account with BetMGM, you can use our promo code WSNSPORTS and claim the following offer: Get Up to $1,500 in Bonus Bets.

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MLB Cy Young AL & NL MVP Winner History

After winning the 2024 AL Cy Young award, Tarik Skubal has the opportunity to be the first pitcher to win the title in two straight years since Jacob deGrom did it back in 2018-2019. If Skubal does win the pitching title this season, then the Tigers' ace would be just the 23rd player in the history of the MLB to win more than one Cy Young award.

Unfortunately for Skubal, he will still have some catching up to do if he wants to lead the league for the most Cy Young award,s as Roger Clemens currently leads all pitchers with seven total titles. Clemens was as consistent as it gets as he never won the award more than twice in a row while racking up the titles from 1986 until his last one in 2004.

AL Cy Young Award Winners

NL Cy Young Award Winners