Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew Prediction: Trillium Cup Showdown

Saturday afternoon, the Columbus Crew will make the short jaunt to encounter Toronto FC at BMO Field. Known at the Trillium Cup, this rivalry is one of MLS’s more organic rivalries, driven by geographic proximity and heated tilts.

• Toronto FC have collected four points across four matches 

• Columbus Crew are one of three teams left without a victory in league play   

Here, we will break down the betting odds and share our favourite picks for Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew.

Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew Betting Odds for Saturday, March 21

The draw no bet market sees TFC listed at -110 to win, or a draw returning our stake. The same outcome for Columbus, they are priced at -106.

Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew Odds

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Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew Betting Prediction

Toronto FC Preview

Robin Fraser’s men looked poised to collect all three points last weekend in their home opener, but TFC let it slip away with the final kick in the match. The final result saw Toronto share the spoils with the New York Red Bulls in a 1-1 draw. Compared to last season's start, Toronto are showing signs of improvement and with key additions up front, they could find themselves in the playoff mix after matchday 34.

TFC made news off the pitch in February with the major acquisition of USMNT forward, Josh Sargent for a lofty fee. Last weekend the 26-year-old made his MLS debut, coming on as a substitute in the 70th minute, obtaining a shot on target. He hasn’t seen the pitch since early January with his previous employers, so it will take time for the striker to get up to speed. Dániel Sallói has impressed in his new outfit, cataloging two goals in his four outings, he could be a factor again this weekend.

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Columbus Crew Preview

Henrik Rydström’s first exposure to MLS as a manager is not unfolding as expected. The Columbus Crew currently sit in 14th place in the Eastern Conference, collecting two points. The Crew failed to breach the opposing keeper for a second consecutive game, as they surrendered a late goal, losing 1-0 versus Nashville SC last weekend. Inside the 90 minute frame, The Black and Gold was unable to generate any attacking threat, finishing with an xG of 0.22. 

The pair of Designated Players on this squad, Diego Rossi and Wessam Abou Ali are the team’s leading goal getters in 2026, with two each. The duo up front could be lively but the bigger issue is who else on the roster will start to contribute, as the Crew rank 20th in goals scored per match heading into matchday five. Columbus’ backline play in front of the keeper is a key reason why the situation isn’t as dire as it looks so far, they possess the 13th best goals conceded average, allowing 1.30 goals against.

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Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew - My Pick

• Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew pick: Toronto FC draw no bet (-110) at FanDuel

The first edition of the Trillium Cup derby should see the hosts nab a result, fading a Crew side that hasn’t looked as sharp as expected. The xPOS (expected position) has Columbus ranked ninth, showing this club is underperforming and unlucky at the moment, while for Toronto it’s the exact opposite. This is still the early stages of the campaign where things tend to even out later on, which is why we are backing Toronto who have looked like the better side after a month. Head-to-head the previous 19 trips to BMO Field, the Crew have struggled going north of the border, only winning in six instances.

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How to Watch Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew

• When: March 21, 1 p.m. ET

• Where: BMO Field

• TV: Apple TV