Goodyear 400 Predictions, Odds & Picks (Cup Series)
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Goodyear 400 Predictions: Toyota Look for Fifth Victory in 2025

Updated: Apr. 4, 2025, 05:41 AM ET
4 min read
  • There are good reasons to favor Kyle Larson in a Cup car at Darlington.

  • Tyler Reddick spends a lot of time near the front at the Track Too Tough to Tame.

  • Denny Hamlin hopes history repeats itself in the eighth Cup race of the season.

Goodyear 400 Betting Odds

Odds taken from bet365 sportsbook. Use our promo code WSN365 and place your bets at bet365: Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose

Driver Odds
Kyle Larson +450
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Denny Hamlin +600
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Ryan Blaney +700
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Tyler Reddick +700
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William Byron +700
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Christopher Bell +1200
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Chase Briscoe +1400
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Bubba Wallace +1400
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Joey Logano +1400
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Chase Elliott +1600
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Ross Chastain +1800
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Our Picks for the Goodyear 400

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Goodyear 400 Predictions April 6

Goodyear 400 Predictions

There are Plenty of Reasons to Make Kyle Larson Sunday’s Favorite

Does Kyle Larson have speed in his No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet this season? Of course he does.

Does Larson have a winning history at Darlington Raceway? You can check that box, too.

In fact, Larson leads all active drivers in laps led at the Lady in Black in the Gen 7 era (2022-present) with 398.

The last time the NASCAR Cup Series raced at a downforce track—1.5-mile Homestead-Miami Speedway—Larson won.

Larson ran the wall to win at Homestead. He’ll do the same at Darlington, but so will everyone else—Larson’s just better at it.

Larson has one victory at the track, but his record in the spring race hasn’t been stellar—finishes of 20th and 34th in the last two.

Hence, we’re looking at other options for Sunday’s winner.

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Tyler Reddick is an Accomplished Rim Rider—and Good at Darlington

Tyler Reddick, who like Kyle Larson is accomplished at running next to the wall, has an up-and-down record at Darlington Raceway.

With three top-three finishes in the last six races—two seconds and a third—Reddick leads all drivers in podium results at the Lady in Black with the Gen 7 car.

In last year’s spring race, Reddick led 174 laps and was battling Chris Buescher for the lead before he mistimed a pass attempt and wrecked both cars.

We expect Reddick to have good speed on Sunday, but we can’t back him to win at +700 (bet365) because of his inconsistent Darlington record.

However, we do like Buescher to finish in the top five at +375 (bet365).

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Darlington May Present a Déjà Vu Scenario For Denny Hamlin and Toyota

Different week, same circumstances.

Last Sunday at Martinsville, Denny Hamlin came to a track where he led all full-time active drivers in victories but hadn’t won since the Gen 7 car was introduced into the Cup Series in 2022.

Hamlin won convincingly, leading 274 of the final 275 laps.

In Sunday’s Goodyear 400, Hamlin again comes to one of his best tracks. He leads all active drivers at Darlington with four wins but hasn’t claimed victory in the Gen 7 era.

This is a circumstance that could unfold just like it did a week ago at Martinsville. The Joe Gibbs Racing Toyotas have been strong in the early season, with Christopher Bell winning three times and Hamlin once in the first seven races.

With think Hamlin will add to his total on Sunday at +600 via bet365.

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How to Watch the Goodyear 400

  • What: Goodyear 400 NASCAR Cup Series race

  • Where: Darlington Raceway

  • When: Sunday, April 6, 3 p.m. ET

  • How to Watch: FS1

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Reid Spencer

Reid Spencer

NASCAR Betting Analyst

Expertise:
NASCAR
Betting Analyst
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor in Drama
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Experience: 48 years
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