At -185, the Oklahoma City Thunder remain the favorite to win the Western Conference.
The Golden State Warriors are the top contender, a +700 to reclaim the conference crown.
Despite needing to escape the Play-In, the Minnesota Timberwolves are a +750 to win the Western Conference this season!
The Western Conference playoffs' first round is about halfway through, and it's been as competitive as advertised despite the league leaders already separating themselves from the pack. At WSN, we're locked in on the race for the 2025 NBA Western Conference Winner, offering the latest odds, predictions, and analyses for the 2024-25 NBA season!
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After finishing the regular season as the top team in the NBA, the Oklahoma City Thunder stand atop the odds table, even being the first team to book their ticket to the second round. After leveling their series against the second-seeded Rockets behind Stephen Curry’s brilliance, the Golden State Warriors are the top contenders. The Minnesota Timberwolves and LA Clippers have also joined the race for the Western Conference crown, as Anthony Edwards and Kawhi Leonard are among the top playoff performers. Rounding out the group are the Los Angeles Lakers, who maintain their place in the odds table given the experience and quality of LeBron James and Luka Doncic.
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The Oklahoma City Thunder dominated the first half of the regular season and will be pressured to maintain their quality through the second half. Owning the NBA’s top-ranked defense, Oklahoma City has proven its success last season was no fluke. After a wild trade deadline period, expect the Thunder to find success with their continuity.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-25 | 44-10, 1st in NBA Western Conference | - | 118.3 (5th of 30) | 105.4 (1st of 30) | 99.6 (9th of 30) | 117.8 (5th of 30) | 104.9 (1st of 30) |
Head Coach: Mark Daigneault
Key Players: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren
Key Additions: Alex Caruso, Isaiah Hartenstein
Key Losses: Josh Giddey, Bismack Biyombo, Gordon Hayward
The Oklahoma City Thunder stand above the rest in the race for the Western Conference crown. In three games before the All-Star break, the Thunder went 2-1, averaging 117.6 points per game and hitting 16.3 threes on 47.6% from the field and 39.8% from three. Ranked 13th in strength of remaining schedule, the Thunder have plenty of obstacles to overcome before even reaching the postseason.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-25 | 32-20, 5th in NBA Western Conference | - | 115.5 (10th of 30) | 114.7 (16th of 30) | 97.8 (21st of 30) | 113.3 (14th of 30) | 112.5 (12th of 30) |
Head Coach: JJ Redick
Key Players: LeBron James, Luka Doncic, Austin Reaves
Key Additions: Luka Doncic, Dalton Knecht
Key Losses: Spencer Dinwiddie, Taurean Prince
The Los Angeles Lakers made the biggest splash of the NBA’s trade season, bringing in star guard Luka Doncic in exchange for lead big man Anthony Davis. They’ve won eight of their last ten games, vaulting them up the Western Conference ladder and into the top five. Most notably, Doncic has appeared in two games for the Lakers, averaging 15.0 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game on 40.7% shooting.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-25 | 36-19, 3rd in NBA Western Conference | - | 120.4 (3rd of 30) | 114.8 (17th of 30) | 100.1 (5th of 30) | 121.5 (3rd of 30) | 115.9 (23rd of 30) |
Head Coach: Michael Malone
Key Players: Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr.
Key Additions: Dario Saric, Russell Westbrook
Key Losses: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Reggie Jackson
The Denver Nuggets have bounced back from a difficult start to the regular season campaign and now sit third in the Western Conference. They won eight straight games going into the All-Star break, shooting 54.7% from the field over that stretch. Ranked third in the strength of the remaining schedule, the second half of the season will be a test for the Nuggets' chances of challenging for the Western Conference crown.
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Year | Record | Finish | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | PPG | Opp PPG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-25 | 31-23, 6th in NBA Western Conference | - | 112.4 (19th of 30) | 109.4 (3rd of 30) | 98.2 (20th of 30) | 111.0 (21st of 30) | 108.0 (3rd of 30) |
Head Coach: Tyronn Lue
Key Players: James Harden, Kawhi Leonard, Norman Powell
Key Additions: Ben Simmons, Bogdan Bogdanovic, MarJon Beauchamp
Key Losses: Kevin Porter Jr., Terance Mann, Bones Hyland
The LA Clippers have flown under the radar this season despite their consistency among the top six in the Western Conference. They entered the All-Star break on a three-game win streak, defeating the Grizzlies and the Jazz twice. Boasting the league’s third-ranked defense, the LA Clippers are expected to improve further as Kawhi Leonard acclimates to a full workload without restriction–as he recovers from injury.
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