Best Broncos vs. Commanders Prop Bets: Denver Looking to Maintain Top AFC Seed

• The Broncos are coming off a bye week

• Denver is tied with the Patriots for the top seed in the AFC

• Marcus Mariota will start in place of Jayden Daniels once again 

The Commanders went to the NFC Championship last season, but 2025 has been entirely different. Washington is one of the worst teams in the conference, and they should have trouble against the Broncos.

Check out the latest NFC Championship odds and see how the Commanders rank this season.

There is a lot of prop betting value in this contest, and I have three plays from this game on my card. I’m taking these wagers on bet365.

Best Broncos vs. Commanders Prop Bets

I have selected three player prop bets for Broncos vs. Commanders on bet365 sportsbook, one of my top prop betting sites. New users who sign up for an account with our bet365 promo code WSN365 will receive $150 in bonus bets after betting just $5.

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Bo Nix Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-130) at bet365

Bo Nix has been playing at a strong level in 2025, and through 11 games, he has thrown for 2,421 yards and 18 passing touchdowns. His average comes out to 220.1 yards and 1.6 touchdowns per game. 

The defense he’ll face, Washington Commanders, has been allowing roughly 250 passing yards per game this season. The Commanders have been horrendous on defense, and talented quarterbacks have ripped them in 2025. 

Given Nix’s talent and the Commanders’ defensive struggles, it’s reasonable to expect Denver to move the ball through the air multiple times. If Denver can throw the ball, there is no reason to think Nix will fail at quarterback and not reach two passing touchdowns. 

Nix’s pass volume should help us hit this wager. Sean Payton consistently leans on the passing game and really trusts his sophomore quarterback. 

The combination of all these factors gives Nix a great chance of throwing for two or more touchdowns on Sunday night.

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Courtland Sutton Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at bet365

Courtland Sutton should reach 50 yards against the Commanders because the defense has been terrible this season, and Sutton is a matchup nightmare. 

Sutton is averaging about 59 receiving yards per game this season, which means his current line is below his usual output. 

Washington’s pass defense has allowed opponents approximately 250 passing yards per game in 2025, and the Commanders are in the bottom third of the league for their pass defense. 

If the offense moves the ball through the air, they’re going to look for Sutton shots down the field. This should lead to Sutton posting some huge numbers.

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Marcus Mariota Interception (-140) at bet365

I think Marcus Mariota has a real shot to throw at least one interception against the Broncos. Denver’s defense has been excellent in 2025, and Mariota is a backup quarterback at best. 

Mariota has thrown five interceptions over 140 pass attempts this season, so nearly 4% of his passes get picked. 

Mariota’s interception frequency is concerning, and he should be sped up against the Cowboys. 

If the opposing defense forces pressure, or if Mariota targets risky passes downfield or into tight coverage, that interception probability climbs. In a setting where the offense faces third-downs, tight windows, or needs to push the ball, Mariota shows he should throw a pick.

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