Best Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prop Bets: Expect Baker Mayfield to Round Back Into Form

• Carolina can secure a spot in the playoffs with a win over Tampa Bay

• Baker Mayfield threw two interceptions in last week’s loss to Miami

• The Panthers defense ranks well below league average in Def DVOA and in EPA

After a hot start to the year, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offense have harshly regressed as their pass catchers have been dealing with an abundance of injuries. Luckily for the Bucs, Baker Mayfield will have a great opportunity to round back into form in a NFC South divisional matchup against Carolina as he faces off against a Panthers defense who ranks well below league average in most defensive metrics.

Best Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prop Bets

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Baker Mayfield Over 20.5 Pass Completions (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even with his surrounding cast dealing with injuries, Baker Mayfield has been able to play at a high level as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback ranks above league average in Quarterback EPA per Play. His ability to stretch out the secondary has helped the Bucs stay ahead of the sticks as Mayfield also resides in the top-10 in Big Time Throw Percentage.

In a NFC playoff clinching matchup against the Carolina Panthers, expect Mayfield to recapture the same success he had earlier in the year as he faces off against a defense who ranks well below league average in Def DVOA and in Pass Rush Win Rate. With the Panthers struggling to get in the backfield, Mayfield will be able to set his feet instead of having to throw on the run which increases his chances of completing a pass.

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Bucky Irving Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook

After suffering a leg injury that forced him to miss a good chunk of the season, Bucky Irving has struggled to play at a competitive level as the Buccaneers versatile running back ranks near the bottom of the board in Yards Over Expected per Attempt. His offensive line has also done him no favors with their protection as the Bucs front five ranks in the bottom five in Run Block Set Grade.

Luckily for Irving, he will have a great opportunity to break out of his slump as he faces off against a Panthers front seven who struggles to stuff the run as their well below league average mark in Run Defense Line Yards indicates. For some more exposure, escalator bet Irving’s Rushing Yardage prop by placing smaller wagers on his alternate overs at the best available odds.

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Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+160) at BetMGM Sportsbook

When inside the 20, Mike Evans has been efficient with his scoring opportunities as the Bucs wide receiver has converted 75% of his Red Zone Receptions into Touchdowns. With the Panthers secondary ranking 26th in Def EPA, Evans will be able to generate a higher volume of Red Zone Targets by consistently exploiting their gaps in coverage which increases his chances of scoring.

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Rico Dowdle Under 56.5 Rushing Yards (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Since leaping over Chubba Hubbard on the depth chart, Rico Dowdle has been able to thrive as the Panthers starting running back is averaging nearly five Yards per Carry. His offensive line has played a major role in his success this season as the Panthers rank top-10 in Run Block Line Yards.

Unfortunately for Dowdle, negative regression looms large over the Panthers running back as he faces off against a Bucs front seven who ranks above league average in Run Defense PFF Grade. Especially with the Bucs blitzing their linebackers at a very heavy rate as their extra bodies at the line of scrimmage will drastically lessen the quality of Dowdle’s running lanes in the trenches.

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