Dallas has allowed 2+ rushing TDs in three of their last four games
The Cowboys are allowing the most passing yards per game in the NFL
The Chargers lead the league in opposing passer rating
The Dallas Cowboys remain in the race for the NFC East title and a wild-card spot, but they must win this week to keep both hopes alive. While they’ll have the advantage of being at home, they will be hosting a Los Angeles Chargers team that has won six of its previous seven games. We expect these teams to provide a thrilling matchup, giving us some fantastic prop bets to choose from.
See our NFC East odds and predictions here.
Below, we will share our three favorite prop bets for the Cowboys' last stand against the Chargers.
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| Justin Herbert 260+ Passing Yards | +109 | CLAIM HERE |
| Dak Prescott 270+ Passing Yards | +130 | CLAIM HERE |
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The Chargers’ rookie running back hasn’t missed a step since returning from the IR two weeks ago. He has taken 28 carries for 117 yards, averaging an impressive 4.2 YPC. By comparison, backup Kimani Vidal has taken 26 carries for 77 yards during that span, averaging a far less impressive 3.0 YPC. That should keep Hampton as the lead back this week against a shaky Dallas defense.
The Cowboys' run defense has been far better since adding Quinnen Williams. They are containing talented backs and preventing big plays, but it hasn’t stopped opponents from rushing for touchdowns. Dallas has allowed 2+ rushing touchdowns in three of its last four games, with 19 surrendered on the season.
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While the Cowboys’ run defense has improved, their play against the pass remains a significant problem. They rank last in yards per game (254.8) and touchdowns (31) through the air, as well as opposing passer rating (109.1). While the secondary carries plenty of blame, the lack of a pass rush remains the biggest problem.
The Cowboys allowing Jared Goff and Patrick Mahomes to go off isn’t surprising, but allowing JJ McCarthy to is hard to ignore. The embattled quarterback has not looked ready for the NFL, but he had one of his best games against the Cowboys last week, passing for 250 yards and a pair of touchdowns. While that is under this total, Justin Herbert is a far superior talent, leaving us with little doubt about his ability to cover this total.
Herbert hasn’t been throwing for many yards over the last month, but he was also missing several key weapons. With the LA offense getting healthy and once again starting to click, we believe the Chargers' star quarterback will have one of the best games of his season.
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When looking at the stats, the Chargers have one of the NFL’s best pass defenses. They allow the lowest opposing passer rating in the NFL (71.3) while ranking in the top ten in sacks (40) and interceptions (17). However, a closer look at LA’s schedule raises questions about how good this unit really is.
Over their last eight games, the Chargers have faced the struggling offenses of the Eagles and Chiefs, as well as the Raiders, Steelers, Titans, and Vikings. However, the team was lit up by better offenses, allowing the Jaguars and Colts to score 35+ points (pre-Daniel Jones injury).
For all of the Cowboys’ problems, they have been the best passing offense in the league. They are first in yards per game (276.1) and third in touchdowns (27). They will be the best pass attack the Chargers have seen in some time, and we believe they will struggle to stop it for all four quarters.
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