The Detroit Lions odds to win the NFC North division title have steadily grown
The Lions beat the Baltimore Ravens in a potential Super Bowl preview in week three
Green Bay’s Jordan Love ranks top-10 in Quarterback EPA per play and in PFF Grade
The NFC North is arguably the most competitive division in the NFL this season as each team is more than capable of putting together a productive year and making the playoffs. That leaves the Detroit Lions with zero room for error in their efforts of winning their third straight division title, especially while dealing with one of the more grueling schedules in the league.
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Team | Odds |
---|---|
Green Bay Packers | -115 BET HERE |
Detroit Lions | +185 BET HERE |
Minnesota Vikings | +550 BET HERE |
Chicago Bears | +2200 BET HERE |
Don’t let the Green Bay Packers stunning loss against the Cleveland Browns fool you, they are still the best team in the division as they rank top-8 in Off and in Def EPA. Jordan Love has played a major role in their improvement as the Packers MVP contender resides near the top of the board in Quarterback PFF Grade. If you bet on the Lions to win the division earlier in the year, then consider hedging your wager on the Packers at their current odds.
As for Minnesota, Carson Wentz thrived in his first start with the Vikings as he threw for 173 yards and 2 touchdowns in a 48-10 win over the Cincinnati Bengals. Take his performance with a grain of salt though as the Bengals defense are one of the worst units in the league. Luckily for the Vikings, their own defense will be able to keep them competitive in their contests when their offense stumbles as they currently rank top-2 in Def DVOA and in EPA.
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The Detroit Lions offensive line bounced back in a big way in week three as Taylor Decker, Tate Ratledage, and Penei Sewell all received a PFF Grade of 82.0 or higher. When they give Jared Goff the protection he needs to help reduce the amount of Havoc in his throws, the Lions offense are able to move the ball down the field at a consistent rate. Should their defense continue to improve, then expect the Lions to remain in contention for the division title.
When wagering on a team to win the NFC North division title, multiple factors play a role including returning production, strength of schedule, and offseason additions. In a sport where the margin for error is razor-thin, returning production is vital as continuity helps limit the amount of variance in their contests. Especially early on in the season as teams are still trying to establish their identity while working in new talent on both sides of the ball.
As for the strength of schedule, an easier slate drastically increases a team’s chances of winning the division title as the winner is deemed by their overall record. Schedule spots also play a critical role as you want to back a team who receives an ample amount of rest while having to deal with primetime slots and international travel.
Before placing a wager on the NFC North winner market, it’s important to know how the listed odds work. If you place a $100 wager on Detroit’s early season odds of +135, then you would profit $135 if the Lions win the division title.
If you wait to see if the Lions break away from the rest of the pack and are listed with a minus sign in front of their odds (-125 for example), then you would need to wager $125 to profit $100. Be sure to line shop before placing any type of wager as the odds for the same market can vary between each sportsbook.
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Since Green Bay’s dominant run from 2019-2021, the NFC North has seen some parity as the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions have been able to successfully compete with them. Both teams found themselves firmly in the race for the division title last year as it came down to a week 18 matchup against each other to decide who would win the division.
Team | Year |
---|---|
Detroit Lions | 2024 |
Detroit Lions | 2023 |
Minnesota Vikings | 2022 |
Green Bay Packers | 2021 |
Green Bay Packers | 2020 |
Green Bay Packers | 2019 |
Chicago Bears | 2018 |
Minnesota Vikings | 2017 |
Green Bay Packers | 2016 |
Minnesota Vikings | 2015 |
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