The New England Patriots were the No. 2 seed in the playoffs with a 14-3 record after losing the tiebreaker to the Denver Broncos
New England beat the Los Angeles Chargers, Houston Texans, and Denver Broncos to reach Super Bowl 60
The Patriots opened as 3.5-point underdogs to the Seattle Seahawks
After an incredible run through the regular season and playoffs, the New England Patriots will head into Super Bowl 60 as the underdog (opened at +3.5). But with the help of Rhamondre Stevenson, Patriots quarterback Drake Maye is hopeful he can lead the team to victory.
As the fourth youngest team in the NFL (average age - 26 years and four months), if the Patriots can pull off a win, it could mean we have another Patriots dynasty in the making. But it is not going to be easy against Sam Darnold and the Seattle Seahawks.
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| Best Rhamondre Stevenson Player Props | Odds | Bet $5 and Get $200 in Bonus Bets at FanDuel |
|---|---|---|
| Rhamondre Stevenson, OVER 49.5 Rushing Yards | -114 | CLAIM HERE |
| Rhamondre Stevenson, UNDER 14.5 Rushing Attempts | -122 | CLAIM HERE |
| Rhamondre Stevenson, OVER 77.5 Rushing + Receiving Yards | -114 | CLAIM HERE |
Stevenson has rushed for OVER this mark in six of his last seven games, including all three playoff games, which is significant given that the Chargers, Texans, and Broncos were among the toughest run defenses in the league.
Running backs averaged 20.53 carries and 73.53 yards (4.71 yards per carry) against the Seahawks this season. They’ve continued to be tough to run on in the postseason, but Kyren Williams ran for 55 yards with just nine carries in the NFC title game.
If the game is as competitive as expected, the Patriots will not abandon the run. As long as Stevenson continues to get the bulk of the carries (15+), he’ll go OVER this TOTAL.
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It is really easy to look at his numbers from the last two games (16 and 25 carries) and think that he’ll almost certainly go OVER this mark. However, the Seahawks have a solid run defense (much like the Texans, Broncos, and Chargers). But the Seattle defense does not concern me with this prop.
TreVeyon Henderson does.
Stevenson has outrushed him in every game in the playoffs; he was more effective, so he should. But teams averaged 29-30 rush attempts against the Seattle defense, with running backs accounting for 20-21 of them.
Drake Maye has averaged eight per game in the postseason and has been very effective. Henderson had 10+ in nine of his last ten regular-season games. If he’s even moderately effective, he’ll get at least ten carries, leaving around 12 for Stevenson. Take the UNDER.
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Part of the reason I see Stevenson getting fewer carries is that he’ll get a few more touches in the passing game. He didn’t play a huge role in it during the regular season with 35 receptions (42 targets) and 221 yards.
He only had three catches for seven yards across all three playoff games. However, the Seattle defense struggles to slow down pass-catching running backs. Against the 49ers, RBs had seven catches for 53 yards, and Rams RBs had five for 46 yards.
With how he has been running in the postseason, 12 carries for 50-60 yards is not unreasonable. If he can pull in 2-3 catches for 20 yards, he’ll hit the OVER. Should he struggle a little in the running game, I can see him make up the difference with a few receptions.
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