ATP Barcelona & Belgrade Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

ATP Barcelona & Belgrade

  • Monteiro a value pick
  • Nishikori to add to Pella woe
  • Korda to continue the ascent

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ATP Barcelona & Belgrade Picks

Thiago Monteiro to beat Jaume Munar at +260 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Kei Nishikori to beat Guido Pella 2-0 at -445 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Seb Korda to beat Aljaz Bedene at -167 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Federico Delbonis each way in the Serbia Open at +5000 at bet365

How to Watch ATP Barcelona & Belgrade

ATP Barcelona & Belgrade Information
What ATP Barcelona Open and ATP Serbia Open
Where Barcelona, Spain; Belgrade, Serbia
When Monday, April 19 to Sunday, April 25
How to Watch Tennis Channel

Thiago Monteiro vs Jaume Munar

Player Odds
Thiago Monteiro +260
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Jaume Munar -335
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This week’s best long shot comes in Monday’s late match in Barcelona where home hope Jaume Munar is priced up too short.

It’s not hard to see why the Spaniard is the favorite here – he recently made the final in Marbella and has also played in three Challenger Tour finals on clay this season.

Yet Monteiro’s year so far has hardly been bad. The Brazilian played surprisingly well on the hardcourts of Melbourne at the start of the campaign and he’s since been to the quarter-finals on the clay of Cordoba where it took eventual champion Juan Manuel Cerendolo to stop him.

Munar’s form is strong and he’s a decent dirt baller, but his game is limited and odds of +260 about a Monteiro win look attractive.

He’s the higher-ranked player here and also won their only previous meeting – 6-3 6-3 in Buenos Aires last season. They are pretty much at sea level again this week with sluggish conditions likely once more.

The left-hander should be capable of grinding out points and I simply can’t have him at +260 to win this contest.

Kei Nishikori vs Guido Pella

Player Odds
Kei Nishikori -445
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Guido Pella +340
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Pella is enduring a miserable time on the ATP Tour with just three of his last 13 matches won – a run that stretches back 14 months.

The last six defeats have all come in straight sets. For a player who has previously admitted struggling with nerves and seeing a psychologist, it’s not a good sign.

Another quick loss could be on the table here.

Nishikori has had plenty of struggles himself over the years – his due to injuries – but his latest comeback has been showing some good signs in 2021 with the Japanese reaching the quarter-finals in both Rotterdam and Dubai on hardcourts. He also took a set off Stefanos Tsitsipas in Miami.

This is his first step onto the clay in 2021 but Barcelona has been a great venue for Nishikori in the past – he’s a two-time winner and has also appeared in another final. On his last visit here, in 2019, he made the semis.

Nishikori has often performed well on clay – several quarter-final appearances at Roland Garros and a Masters 1000 final in Madrid spring to mind – and while this is Pella’s natural domain, his form is such a long way from his best that Nishikori looks well worth siding with here.

He’s -127 to complete a two-set win which looks perfectly fair.

Seb Korda vs Aljaz Bedene

Player Odds
Seb Korda -167
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Aljaz Bedene +133
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The pick of Tuesday’s prices comes in Belgrade where rising star Korda looks worth backing at -155.

He’s been one of the breakout stars of 2021, starting the year by reaching the final in Delray Beach and then making the quarter-finals of the Miami Masters with three top-30 wins – over Fabio Fognini, Aslan Karatsev and Diego Schwartzman.

Bedene did have an eye-catching win over Jannik Sinner in Montpellier but aside from that, his results have been far from spectacular.

One thing in his favor perhaps is that this isn’t his claycourt bow for 2021 – the Slovenian made the last eight in Cagliari but he was unable to break the serve of Taylor Fritz in their quarter-final.

However, while this will be Korda’s first clay match of the season, it should be remembered how impressive he was at Roland Garros back in the autumn when he qualified and then went all the way to the last 16.

There’s no doubt he can play on this surface and with the added confidence of the last few months now behind him, I feel the youngster should be shorter than he is on the money line.

Best Outright Pick

There are two odds-on favorites this week in the shape of Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic and both will be looking to bounce back after surprise defeats in Monte Carlo.

It’s not hard to see both winning so looking for some each-way value looks the way to go this week.

My top pick comes in Belgrade where Djokovic heads up the top half of the draw.

Down in the bottom section, Argentine clay specialist Federico Delbonis looks overpriced at +5000.

He’s played all bar two matches on clay in 2021 so is well prepared for this stage of the season, one in which he’s gone well before – Delbonis has won in Marrakech in April in the past and also has final appearances in Hamburg and Nice during the European claycourt season on his CV.

Delbonis looks well drawn with Dusan Lajovic and John Millman the seeds in his section. Home hope Lajovic will be a threat but Delbonis leads their head-to-head 5-2.

With Matteo Berrettini – a player only just back from an injury lay-off – the man seeded to reach the final on this side of the draw, there looks to be an opportunity in this section and Delbonis looks worth backing to grab it with both hands.

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Andy Schooler

Expert on Tennis

Andy is a sports journalist of more than 20 years’ experience and is a former betting editor of the UK-based website, Sporting Life. He has specialized in tennis for many years, previewing hundreds of ATP Tour events and reporting from tournaments such as the ATP Finals and Davis Cup final. Andy has also covered numerous other sports, with a particular interest in soccer and cricket.