Genesis Scottish Open 2025 Predictions: Count on Collin

• The Renaissance Club in North Berwick plays host

• The Open Championship takes place at Royal Portrush next week  

• World No.1 Scottie Scheffler returns to the Scottish after missing it last year

Genesis Scottish Open 2025 Odds

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Genesis Scottish Open 2025 Predictions

• Collin Morikawa each-way (1/4 odds, 5 Places) at +2200 with bet365

• Rory McIlroy to beat Scottie Scheffler in 72-hole match at +180 with bet365

• Ryan Fox for Top 10 at +500 with BetMGM

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Genesis Scottish Open 2025 Intro

For a fourth straight year, the PGA TOUR co-sanctions the Genesis Scottish Open.

And that means a world-class field - including the top five in the OWGR - heads to The Renaissance Club in North Berwick once more.

Scottie Scheffler chose to sit it out last year but with the final major of 2025 starting at Royal Portrush next Thursday, perhaps the World No.1 is aware of the stat that 10 of the last 13 Open Championship winners played the Scottish a week earlier.

In all, eight of the world’s top 10 make the trip to Scotland to both contest the $9m purse and get their games grooved on the links.

Despite its proximity to classic links tracks such as Muirfield and Gullane, the Renaissance Club only opened in 2008.

But the Tom Doak design embraced the existing dunes landscape and although it may be referred to as links-style rather than a true links, form from Open Championships and the Alfred Dunhill Links (played at St Andrews, Carnoustie and Kingsbarns) stands up well.

Scotsman Robert MacIntyre sent the home crowd into rapture last year when edging out Adam Scott, that win coming a year on from MacIntyre himself being pipped by Rory McIlroy.

Nine different nationalities have won the last nine editions of the Scottish Open while the last three were won by a single shot and the three before that went to playoffs.

Last 5 Winners of the Genesis Scottish Open

Course Notes

• The Renaissance Club is a par 70 and measures 7,237 yards

• The course has three par 3s and three par 5s

• From 2022 it’s been co-sanctioned with the PGA Tour 

• Bernd Wiesberger posted the 72-hole record of 262 in 2019

• Wiesberger and Byeong Hun An hold the 18-hole record of 61 

Favorites to Win the Genesis Scottish Open 2025

Scottie Scheffler (+300) at bet365

Scheffler returns to a venue where he was third in 2023 and also 12th on debut in 2021 so he’s laid the foundations for his first win on Scottish soil. After three wins in four starts (Byron Nelson, PGA Championship, Memorial), he didn’t have his best stuff at the US Open or the Travelers Championship but it’s a measure of his high-class consistency that Scheffler still finished seventh and sixth respectively in those two events.  

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Rory McIlroy (+850) at bet365

Rory picked Robert MacIntyre’s pocket to win here in 2023 thanks to a brilliant birdie-birdie finish in tough conditions and made a stout defense last year when fourth. That combines with numerous other top fives in Scotland and he’ll be keen to get his game razor-sharp ahead of next week’s Open on his home patch of Royal Portrush. After a mental and physical dip since his epic Masters win, McIlroy has started to show good signs again, finishing with a 67 for 19th in the US Open and posting sixth in the Travelers last time. 

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Tommy Fleetwood (+1800) at bet365

Fleetwood’s long wait to finally win a PGA Tour event so nearly ended at the Travelers before a one-shot lead heading up the last turned into a heartbreaking one-shot loss after he made bogey to Keegan Bradley’s birdie. But he has a second, a fourth and a sixth on this course, a bunch of great finishes in Scotland (his first DP World Tour win came here) so perhaps this is the week.  

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Make it Morikawa  

Had the weather forecast pointed to wet and windy conditions, I’d have been tempted to side with a British player.

But the combination of sun and light winds for most of the tournament suggests another American winner and the one who looks best value is Collin Morikawa.

Morikawa won the Open Championship at Royal St. George’s in England in the summer of 2021 and was also fourth at this course last year.

Both times scoring conditions were favorable so the Californian has the canvas on which to paint the elite driving and iron play that he’s been showing in recent events.

With three top 25s in his last four starts, including eighth at the Rocket Classic last time, Morikawa just needs to get the putter going.

And he may have taken a big step in that regard by hiring caddie legend Billy Foster for this week and next.

If he gets the reads he needs on these greens and rolls it well, Morikawa is dangerous and I’ll back him each-way at 22/1 each-way (1/4 Odds, 5 Places) with bet365.

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McIlroy to Beat Scheffler

This is a bold play - it always is when taking on Scheffler - but it could just be worth risking Rory McIlroy to beat the World No.1 in a 72-hole match.

If a pick ‘em, it would be a bet to swerve but McIlroy is a seriously big ‘dog at +180 with bet365 and I’m not sure that’s quite right. 

Rory has finished first and fourth in the last two editions, beating Scheffler by five the last time they both played the Renaissance Club in 2023, and is starting to flash form again.

Scheffler has yet to quite solve the puzzle of links golf and even though he’s likely to play well, it could be that McIlroy’s vastly greater experience of these conditions gives the Northern Irishman an edge.

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Fox to Land Top 10

Ryan Fox is having a career year and his last two starts show two wins, three further top 20s and a 28th.

He’s also a fine exponent of links golf. He won the 2022 Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and finished runner-up when defending.

The Kiwi, who was 12th here in 2023, is a value bet to make the Top 10 at +500 with BetMGM.

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How to Watch the Genesis Scottish Open 2025

• Tournament: Genesis Scottish Open

• Location: The Renaissance Club, North Berwick, Scotland

• Date: Thursday July 10 - Sunday July 13

• How to Watch: Thursday-Friday 11 a.m.-2 p.m. ET (Golf Channel), Saturday-Sunday 10 a.m-12 p.m (Golf Channel), 12 p.m.-3.p.m. (CBS, Paramount+). And all four days on Sky Sports.