The WGC St Jude Invitational Predictions, Betting Odds & Picks

Written by: Matt Cooper
Updated October 14, 2022
6 min read
Wgc St Jude Invitational
  • Justin Thomas defends his title
  • Jon Rahm is still out of action after his positive Covid test
  • Newly-minted Olympic champion Xander Schauffele can show off his gold medal

The WGC St Jude Invitational Odds

The odds for The WGC St Jude Invitational are taken from BetMGM. Click on ‘BET NOW’ below to head to the sportsbook and place your bet. Get a $600 sign-up bonus at BetMGM.

Player Odds 
Brooks Koepka +1000
Collin Morikawa +1100
Xander Schauffele +1400
Dustin Johnson +1600
Jordan Spieth +1600
Justin Thomas +1800
Louis Oosthuizen +2000
Rory McIlroy +2000
Bryson DeChambeau +2200
Daniel Berger +2200

The WGC St Jude Invitational Predictions and Picks

Brooks Koepka is the outright pick at +1200 with William Hill

Harris English can grab a top-five at +800 with William Hill 

Daniel Berger over Bryson DeChambeau in their match bet at -150 with BetMGM 

How to Watch The WGC St Jude Invitational

The WGC St Jude Invitational Information
Tournament The World Golf Championship St Jude Invitational
Location TPC Southwind, Tennessee
Time Thursday, August 5 – Sunday, August 8
How to watch Thursday, Friday, Saturday & Sunday 12 pm ET (Golf Channel). And all four days on Sky Sports.

The WGC St Jude Invitational Profile

It feels as if we’re in the middle of a hectic period for golf, with the British Open, Men Olympics Competition and now, this week, the third World Golf Championship event of the year – all of them in quick succession. There’s little time for the world’s elite to draw breath and, of course, for much of the field, the early days of this week will have been spent making the journey from Japan to Tennessee.

However, it’s also true that world-class tour golfers don’t really travel like the rest of us.

Rory McIlroy, for example, was not daunted by the prospect. In fact, he’d somehow looked at the time zones and decided he had plenty of time to fly from Japan to Florida for two days with his wife and daughter before traveling on to this week’s event. He may not be overwhelmed by such journeys, but last week’s winner Xander Schauffele might well find himself a little exhausted.

He not only admitted that he was mentally and physically drained after his win but emotionally as well. He’ll do well to excel this week at TPC Southwind.

The course has been a regular venue on the PGA Tour since 1989, but in 2019 it graduated to WGC-level and since then has witnessed high-class victories for Brooks Koepka and Justin Thomas.

Koepka, who didn’t play at the Olympics, is the favorite this week with Jordan Spieth another of the fancied players who spent last week at home.

Koepka Loves the Test

TPC Southwind is a track that certainly has its course specialists. We’ll see how much Daniel Berger likes the place later on in this article and Dustin Johnson is another: he’s made seven visits, never finished outside the top 25, and has won twice.

This week will be a good barometer for the state of his game as he attempts to emerge from an early-year slump. His price is tempting, but that sluggish form remains a worry so instead, we’ll side with Brooks Koepka.

The four-time major championship winner is the favorite this week and with very good reason.

On the one hand, many of his nearest rivals spent last week at the Olympics (soon after making another overseas journey to Britain for the Open).

Then there is Johnson’s poor form and Jordan Spieth’s so-so record on the course. That’s before we’ve even considered just how much Koepka’s eyes fit the test. He’s also made seven starts – he was T19th on debut, third and second in his next two visits, the winner in 2019 (the first time it was sanctioned by the WGC) and second again last year.

Incredibly, in no less than 18 of his last 24 rounds at Southwind he’s ended the day inside the top 12. He’s also topped the Greens in Regulation, Scrambling, Strokes Gained Approach and Strokes Gained Putting stats.

All those numbers make a persuasive case. Take the William Hill offer of +1200 with its excellent seven places on offer each way.

English Set to Bounce Back

Back in 2013, Harris English won his first PGA Tour title at TPC Southwind and by the end of the year, he had made it two wins with victory at El Camaleon in the Mayakoba Classic.

Both courses are tight from the tee, call for accurate approaches, canny golf in the wind, and the ability to drain putts on grainy greens.

For a while, English was pegged as a specialist in such circumstances, but last year the quality of his golf improved and he performed to a high standard everywhere.

He won the Tournament of Champions in January and then caught fire in June.

He first contended at Congaree, finished third at Torrey Pines in the US Open, and won at River Highlands in the Travelers Championship.

True, he struggled in round one of the British Open, but he made the cut with a superb second round 65. There was proof that he’s not yet done with the summer and, back at a place he understands, he can land a top five.

Take him to do so with William Hill offering +800.

Daniel is Berger King of Southwind

With such a high-quality field I am loath to back Daniel Berger at below +2500 in the outright – he’s a fine golfer, but not quite good enough to take on an elite company at such a low price.

However, he simply has to be respected as a TPC Southwind specialist and the way to do is by backing him in a match bet against Bryson DeChambeau.

Since the start of 2020 Berger actually leads the head-to-head count 12-7 so even to begin with the numbers are in his favor. But the only two times they’ve both played Southwind? It’s not even been close.

Berger has always finished top two, DeChambeau was T30th and missed the cut.

They’ve also both made four starts at the course. Berger has missed one cut and finished top two every other time.

DeChambeau? Just one top 40, which was that T30th. Back Berger over Bryson at -150 with BetMGM.

Image for Matt Cooper

Matt Cooper

Golf Betting Analyst

Betting Picks
Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics.
Nationality: British
Education: Bachelor of Arts (History)
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
16 years
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