Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Riley Greene Loves Right-Handed Pitching

Riley Greene hasn’t been able to figure out how to hit lefties, but he is an All-Star when facing right-handed pitching. He’ll face another righty on the mound tonight, and we think he’ll put up another impressive line. We’ll share why we are betting on him to go deep tonight and two other home run props we are locking in. 

The odds we use for our home run bets are taken from Caesars Sportsbook. If you’d like to try Caesars, use promo code WSNDYW to claim a “Bet $1, Get Ten 100% Profit Boost Tokens” offer.

Home Run Picks for Monday, May 19

Riley Greene Anytime Home Run (+450) at Caesars Sportsbook

While Tigers outfielder Riley Greene is a liability against left-handed pitching, he has again crushed righties this season. He owns a .311 average against right-handers, hitting ten of his 11 home runs. With a righty on the mound tonight and Greene going deep in two of his last three games, we are locking him in for this home run prop tonight.

Greene will face Cardinals’ veteran Sonny Gray (4-1, 4.50 ERA, 1.18 WHIP) on the mound to start tonight’s game. The 35-year-old has been wildly inconsistent this season and owns a 6.60 ERA across three starts in May. In the righty’s last start, he allowed three home runs over just 3 2/3 innings.

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Kyle Schwarber Anytime Home Run (+220) at Caesars Sportsbook

You don’t have to be a betting sharp to realize this is one of the safest home run props of the week. The slugger’s 15 home runs are the second-most in the league as he pushes to set new personal records in 2025. 

Schwarber doesn’t have a great history against Rockies’ starter Kyle Freeland (0-6, 6.15 ERA, 1.59 WHIP), but he’ll be facing a different version of the veteran tonight. The lefty has been a nightmare when starting at Coors Field, going 0-3 with a 9.77 ERA. Expect those numbers to get even worse against Schwarber and the Phillies.

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Corbin Carroll Anytime Home Run (+230) at Caesars Sportsbook

After a rough sophomore 2024 campaign, Corbin Carroll is once again playing like an MVP candidate. His 14 home runs are the fifth-most in the league, making him a popular bet for home run props.

We love Carroll’s chances to go deep against the Dodgers tonight. That’s because Landon Knack (2-1, 5.89 ERA, 1.53 WHIP) is slated to start for LA. The 27-year-old has stepped into the rotation and has struggled badly. The only reason his ERA isn’t higher is a pair of starts against the Marlins and Rockies. 

In his last start, Knack allowed five runs over 4 4/3 innings and allowed two home runs. We expect Arizona to rattle him early, leading to some mistakes for Carroll to capitalize on. 

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