Monday is an interesting day for home run props. The Mariners, who have two of the top five home run hitters in baseball, are off, while Aaron Judge remains on the IL. Therefore, we had to dig deep to find good candidates. Don’t worry, we found some of MLB’s hottest hitters who are more than capable of going yard on Monday.
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Stanton continues to pick up some of the slack in the home run department with Aaron Judge sidelined. He’s already hit five home runs since the All-Star break and currently has a nine-game hitting streak. During those nine games, Stanton has four home runs. Yet, he doesn’t have the odds of a slugger who’s hitting home runs with such regularity.
Monday, he and the Yankees will face Patrick Corbin. Stanton has given Corbin plenty of trouble in the past, going 9 for 27 with three doubles and two home runs against him. While Corbin has been able to reinvent himself this season, right-handed power hitters like Stanton can still give him trouble.
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Machado went hitless on Sunday, ending a 10-game hitting streak. But one bad game isn’t going to cool him down completely. Machado had seven multi-hit games and six extra-base hits during that 10-game stretch, including a pair of home runs. He’s more than capable of picking up where he left off on Monday.
With Brandon Pfaadt on the mound for Arizona, Machado has a great chance of hitting his 21st homer of the season. Machado is a modest 3 for 12 with no home runs in his career against Pfaadt. But keep in mind that Pfaadt has a 5.11 ERA and is among the MLB leaders in allowing home runs. He’s allowed 20 homers this season, including three in his last start, so a hot hitter like Machado could do some damage against him.
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Story and the Red Sox host Bailey Falter on Monday, as the lefty makes his first start for the Royals after getting traded at the deadline. Despite a decent season, Falter gave up eight home runs in July. He’s suddenly having a hard time keeping the ball in the ballpark, which made us want to target a player on the opposing team.
Naturally, most of Falter’s problems have been against right-handed hitters, who have hit 14 of the 17 home runs he’s given up this season. That plays right into Story’s hands, especially during his current five-game hitting streak. Story has nine hits, including four doubles and three home runs, during his last five games. He’s red-hot at the moment and capable of taking advantage of Falter.
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Contreras is also among the hottest hitters in baseball right now. Milwaukee’s catcher had five hits on Friday, giving him four multi-hit games over his last six games. Contreras has three home runs and two doubles during that stretch, so his power has been on full display over the past week.
While not the most obvious home run candidate, Contreras also owns Erick Fedde, who starts for the Braves on Monday. He’s 9 for 16 with a double and two homers in his career against Fedde. Those are telling numbers, and with Fedde giving up five home runs over his last 12.1 innings, it’s worth taking a chance on Contreras.
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