Targeting players for a home run prop is about more than picking the players with the most home runs. There are times when it’s best to pick players who are in the middle of a hot streak. Of course, they also have to possess the power to go deep, but being in a groove often gives hitters the confidence to hit home runs. That is the strategy we took for Tuesday’s targets.
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The odds for Tuesday’s home run props are from FanDuel Sportsbook. If you’re a new FanDuel customer, you can get $300 in bonus bets if you win your first bet after signing up. Also, Tuesday means you can use FanDuel’s Dinger Tuesday promo, which gives you a 50% profit boost on any home run prop.
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Rooker is a good choice primarily because the A’s are facing Miles Mikolas on Tuesday. Mikolas has had trouble with the long ball all season, giving up 24 home runs while posting a 5.04 ERA this season. It’s been left-handed hitters doing most of the damage, which brings us to Rooker despite just two previous at-bats against Mikolas.
It doesn’t hurt that Rooker has hit 27 homers this season and is in a nice groove. Over his last six games, Rooker is 8 for 23 with four doubles and a home run. His bat is heating up, and he’s been hitting for power, giving him a good chance to take Mikolas deep.
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Stanton is a surprising pick for a home run prop because the Yankees are facing Framber Valdez on Tuesday. The lefty is having another good year and has been stingy on home runs, giving up just nine all season. However, Stanton has owned Valdez, going 6 for 15 with a double and a home run against him during his career.
There aren’t many hitters with that much success against Valdez. If anybody can take him deep on Tuesday, it’s probably Stanton. Keep in mind that Stanton hit nine home runs in August and has 17 that have come in the past two months, putting his power on par with some of this year’s home run leaders.
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Seattle’s contingent of power hitters was kept under wraps in Tampa’s minor league stadium on Monday. But it’s hard to keep that group of players down for a second straight game. That brings us to Arozarena, who is 3 for 4 in his career against Drew Rasmussen, who starts for the Rays on Tuesday.
Rasmussen hasn’t given up many home runs this season, although he did allow two the last time he started at home. As mentioned, Arozarena is one of the few Seattle hitters with past success against him. He also has a four-game hitting streak that includes three multi-hit games and four extra-base hits, making Arozarena Seattle’s hottest hitter at the moment.
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Cleveland’s Slade Cecconi has been giving up home runs like nobody’s business lately. He made five starts in August, posting a 6.31 ERA and giving up seven home runs. Going back even further, Cecconi has allowed at least one home run in eight straight starts, totaling 11 homers allowed.
The catch is that most members of the Red Sox have yet to face Cecconi. However, we chose Anthony because he’s red-hot at the moment. Over his last eight games, Anthony has five multi-hit games and three home runs. The rookie appears perfectly poised to take advantage of Cecconi’s recent troubles with the long ball.
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