Best MLB Home Run Props Today: Finding Value with a Limited Schedule

Home run props can be increasingly difficult in September, especially without a full slate of games, which is the case on Monday. Luckily, we’re able to lean on a couple of the top home run hitters in baseball. For our other two picks, a pair of pitchers who give up a lot of long balls led us to home run targets who provide plenty of value.

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The odds for Monday’s home runs props are from FanDuel Sportsbook. FanDuel has great features that keep customers coming back. Meanwhile, if you’re new to FanDuel, you can sign up today and get $300 in bonus bets if you win your first bet.

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Home Run Picks for Monday, September 15

Aaron Judge Anytime Home Run (+176) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Judge is in the kind of hot streak right now that you have to bet on him to go deep regardless of the odds and the opposing pitcher. He has five homers in his last six games and is batting .350 since the start of September. Also, over his last four games, his 8 for 14 with four home runs.

With that kind of hot streak, it doesn’t matter who the opposing pitcher for the Twins is on Monday. Of course, that pitcher is Simeon Woods-Richardson, who has allowed 16 homers in 94.1 innings this year, making him vulnerable to the long ball. 

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Junior Caminero Anytime Home Run (+260) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Pitching-wise, the Blue Jays are throwing the Rays a curveball by calling up Trey Yesavage for his MLB debut. Obviously, Caminero has no track record against a pitcher who was a first-round pick in 2024 and started the season in low-A ball. Also, Yesavage has allowed just eight home runs all season across 98 innings in the minors.

That being said, a rookie with this little experience pitching in the minors could get a rude introduction from Caminero and the Rays. Just 22 himself, Caminero has 44 home runs this season and is red-hot at the moment. Over his last seven games, Caminero has nine hits, including three doubles and three home runs, so he’s in the type of groove you can’t ignore.

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Matt Olson Anytime Home Run (+360) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With 25 home runs this season, Olson has quietly become a good home run target in the right circumstances. The circumstances appear to be right on Monday, especially with Olson batting .325 with four home runs in September. He’s also 4 for 8 with two home runs over his last two games, so everything is clicking for him right now.

It also helps that Olson and the Braves are facing Mitchell Parker and his 5.69 ERA on Monday. Parker has allowed at least one home run in eight straight starts, with right-handed hitters being responsible for 19 of the 24 homers he’s allowed this year. Olson has homered against Parker before in 11 career at-bats against the lefty, making him a good target for Monday.

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Ivan Herrera Anytime Home Run (+500) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Herrera has just 16 home runs this season, but the young catcher offers great value to go deep on Monday. Of those 16 homers, five have come in September, including two in his last four games, so his power is picking up late in the year. Herrera also has nine total hits, including four extra-base hits, over his last seven games.

Equally important, Herrera and the Cardinals are facing Zack Littell, who leads the majors in home runs allowed. In 29 starts, Littell has allowed 34 home runs, so it makes sense to bet on somebody in the St. Louis lineup to go deep. Since Herrera went 2 for 3 with a home run against Littell in late August, he’s the best option.

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