We have just two days remaining in the 2025 MLB regular season, so we are looking to end it on a winning note. That’s why we are backing some of the league’s top sluggers to go deep tonight and finish the season on a high note. We’ll share which three home run props we are locking in today, along with why.
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Betting on Aaron Judge is one of the safer bets in baseball, as the price indicates. However, we believe there is plenty of reason to take the lower price to back him tonight.
One reason for that is the two-time MVP’s numbers at the end of the season. In September, he’s batting .371 with 12 home runs and 26 RBIs. In the team’s series against the White Sox earlier this week, which was crucial to the Yankees’ hopes to win the AL East, the slugger stepped up to go 5-9 at the plate and hit two home runs.
We expect his bat to stay hot tonight with Tomoyuki Sugano (10-9, 4.54 ERA, 1.34 WHIP) on the mound for the Orioles. The 35-year-old has been getting hammered to close out his rookie campaign, going 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA. His struggles against power hitters have become apparent, with six home runs allowed over 12 innings pitched this month. That’s a big problem to have against Aaron Judge and the powerful Yankee lineup.
Judge has faced Sugano seven times and has delivered six hits, which included a pair of home runs.
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It has been stunning to see Seiya Suzuki slump since the All-Star break, but the slugger is starting to get hot at the right time. He had two home runs against the Mets on Thursday and another yesterday against the Cardinals. He is now riding a modest five-game hitting streak, and he’ll have an excellent chance to keep that going tonight.
We are backing Suzuki largely because Michael McGreevy (8-3, 4.35 ERA, 1.23 WHIP) will be starting for St. Louis. The 25-year-old has been a solid piece of the rotation, but has struggled badly with consistency. In his last start, he allowed five runs and two home runs over five innings. It was his second start allowing multiple home runs this month.
No one on the Cubs has been better against McGreevy than Suzuki, who is 2-6 with a home run.
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The Astros slugger regressed in his eleventh season in the MLB, but some of the blame can be attributed to his new team. Not only did injuries eliminate any help or protection for the former D-backs star. He also has not hit well at Daikin Park, with a .202 average and just eight home runs. Walker has looked far better on the road, with a .263 average, 16 home runs, and 51 RBIs.
Walker will be facing a 21-year-old pitcher in Caden Dana (0-3, 6.39 ERA, 1.66 WHIP). The Angels starter has struggled to miss bats and has allowed six home runs over six starts (25 ⅓ innings). He’s been especially bad when facing right-handed hitters, allowing a .306 OBA and four home runs.
We also like this bet due to the Angels' bullpen, who own the highest ERA in the AL (4.90).
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