It’s been a sluggish start to the week for our MLB props, but we are undeterred. For Wednesday, we’re targeting some of the hottest hitters in baseball and finding some pitchers to fade. We’ve also found four bets with plus-odds, so there is a ton of value with our picks.
Bassitt started the season strong but has been fading fast lately. That shouldn’t be that surprising for the 36-year-old, who is a good candidate to fade with plus-odds on Wednesday. He’s allowed at least six hits in each of his last four starts, giving up at least seven hits in three of those four starts. He allowed eight hits over six innings against a bad Angels lineup in his last start. That’s enough of a reason to expect Bassitt to give up at least six hits against the Rays. Tampa’s lineup isn’t that impressive, although the Rays scored 11 runs on Tuesday, helping the team win three of its last four games, setting them up for a good night against Bassitt.
With a .226 average, we’ve been hesitant to target Nimmo this season. However, that average is up from .211 a week ago, so he’s in the middle of a hot streak. Nimmo has a hit in six straight games, including three doubles and a home run during that stretch. That means he’s gone over 1.5 total bases in four of those six games. Equally important, Nimmo is 5 for 12 with a home run in his career against Bailey Falter, who starts for the Pirates on Wednesday. With his current hot streak and past success against Falter, there is great value in backing Nimmo.
We’re going against the grain with this bet because Parker has been in a big slump lately. He’s allowed at least four runs in three consecutive starts, causing his ERA to rise from 1.39 to 3.97. But with the way Parker pitched early in the season, he’s capable of turning the tide. The lefty also has a good track record against most of Atlanta’s hitters, who are a combined 7 for 41 (.171) against Parker. The Braves aren’t exactly clicking offensively right now. They’ve only scored more than four runs in two of their last 13 games, giving Parker a good chance to keep Atlanta under wraps for four or five innings before leaving the game.
Despite a lack of power with just three home runs, Machado is having a great season. He’s currently batting .331 after six multi-hit games in his last nine games. Even though Machado had only one hit on Tuesday, we’re going to ride the hot hand with the way Machado has been hitting. He and the Padres are also facing Kyle Hendricks, who’s having a dreadful season. On top of that, Machado is 9 for 20 (.450) in his career against Hendricks, which is enough to take a chance on Machado collecting multiple hits again.
Speaking of Hendricks, it’s hard not to fade him against a tough San Diego lineup. He’s just 1-4 with a 5.30 ERA this season. To his credit, Hendricks had one great start earlier this month, giving up one run over 7.2 innings. But that’s the only time in his last six starts that Hendricks recorded an out in the sixth inning. He’s not even recorded an out in the fifth inning in two of his seven starts. Given his season, the Angels will be lucky to get five full innings out of Hendricks in this game. Going beyond that is hard to envision, which is why we have to take this bet.
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