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Best NRFI Bets Today: Fade a Pair of Severely Underwhelming Offenses

Published: July 29, 2025, 08:00 AM ET
5 min read
Best NRFI Bets Today July 29

Even though Logan Allen struggles with punching out, the Cleveland Guardians pitcher will have the opportunity to succeed on Tuesday night as he faces off against the Colorado Rockies who severely underwhelm on offense. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Texas Rangers and Los Angeles Angels as both lineups battle it out against a pair of pitchers who excel at avoiding contact.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Props Today.

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Colorado Rockies vs. Cleveland Guardians - Tanner Gordon vs. Logan Allen (6:40 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-105) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

It has been a rough start to the season for Logan Allen as the Cleveland Guardians pitcher is averaging an ERA of 4.16, a WHIP of 1.367, and a FIP of 4.33. While his current marks on the mound seem discouraging at first glance, it’s worth noting that positive regression does loom large as Allen is also averaging less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched.

Fortunately for Allen, the Guardians pitcher will have a great opportunity to round back into competitive form as he faces off against the Colorado Rockies who severely struggle with making contact and getting on base at a consistent rate. As of writing, the Rockies rank in the bottom ten in Team Total Hits, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, On Base Percentage, and in Slugger Percentage.

Like Allen, Tanner Gordon is also in a position to thrive as he is set to face off against a Guardians offense who ranks below league average in the same previously mentioned offensive metrics. Even though the sample size is small, Gordon has been able to neutralize opposing offenses with his own individual production as the Rockies pitcher is averaging an ERA of 3.13 and FIP of 3.87 in his four starts.

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Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels - Patrick Corbin vs. Yusei Kikuchi (9:38 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-125) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

After being labeled as one of the worst starting pitchers in the league during his tenure with Washington, Patrick Corbin has been able to drastically elevate his level of play as the Texas Rangers pitcher is averaging an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.271. His ability to avoid contact has played a major role in his success as Corbin is also averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

Heading into Tuesday, Corbin will have the opportunity to build on his momentum as he faces off against an offense who ranks near the bottom of the board in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Even with former AL MVP Mike Trout slotted in the Los Angeles Angels lineup, Corbin’s back end helps reduce the amount of contact variance in his starts as the Rangers lead the league in Defensive Efficiency.

On the other side of the field, Yusei Kikuchi will be able to match Corbin’s hot start to the contest as he battles it out against a Rangers offense who severely struggles with making contact. Their inability to generate Hits will be on full display as Kikuchi averages over one Strikeout per Inning and an ERA of 3.23. With both pitchers in a position to thrive, expect no runs to be scored in the first inning.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

  • Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Sandy Alcantara vs. Sonny Gray - With Sandy Alcantara averaging nearly two runners on base per inning and a FIP of 4.47, the former Cy Young winner's struggles on the mound will continue to persist as he faces off against a St. Louis offense who ranks above league average in Contact Rate and in Total Runs Scored.

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago White Sox - Jesus Luzardo vs. Jonathan Cannon - Expect the Philadelphia Phillies star studded offense to open up the scoring early on in their contest against the Chicago White Sox as they are set to battle it out against Jonathan Cannon who averages an ERA of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.404.

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Kody Malstrom WSN Contributor

Kody Malstrom

Sports Betting Analyst

Expertise:
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Kody Malstrom is a sports betting journalist with six years of writing experience in the industry. He covers an abundance of sports, including College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, and more. Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a devoted Detroit Sports fan and spends his Sundays rooting for the Detroit Lions while telling himself this year is the year they win it all. When not staring at betting markets, Kody spends his free time at the beach in the summer or snowboarding in the winter.
Email: [email protected]
Nationality: American
Education: Bachelor of Finance
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Experience: 6 years
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