Best NRFI Bets Today: Target a Pair of Afternoon NRFIs

Negative regression looms large over the Philadelphia Phillies star studded offense as they face off against Trevor Rogers who excels at keeping opposing runners off the bases. Shortly after their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Mets as both struggling lineups are set to battle it out against a pair of productive arms on the mound.

For more daily MLB coverage, check our selection of the Best NRFI Bets Today.

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Philadelphia Phillies - Trevor Rogers vs. Ranger Suarez (12:35 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-130) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

Don’t let Ranger Suarez getting snubbed from the All Star game fool you, the Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher has been dominant this season as he is currently averaging an ERA of 2.68 and a FIP of 3.02. Even though his Strikeout Rate is shockingly low, Suarez still excels at putting opposing batters in low quality contact scenarios as he averages less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched.

Fortunately for Suarez, he will have a great opportunity to generate Whiffs at a higher rate as he faces off against a Baltimore Orioles offense who ranks below league average in Contact Rate, Slugger Percentage, On Base Percentage, and in Strikeout Rate. Especially when he is supported by a very productive back end who thrives in coverage as the Phillies defense ranks top-3 in Fielding Percentage.

On the other side of the field, negative regression looms large over the Phillies star studded offense as they face off against Trevor Rogers who has been one of the Orioles few sources of consistent production on the mound. Heading into Wednesday afternoon's contest against Philly, Rogers is averaging an ERA of 1.44, a WHIP of 0.746, a FIP of 2.61, and less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

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Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Mets - Gavin Williams vs. David Peterson (1:10 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-120) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

With less than 60 games remaining in the year, the Cleveland Guardians must continue to string together their wins should they want to close the gap between them and Detroit for first in the AL Central division standings. In order to do so, their offense must quickly elevate their level of play as their lineup ranks below league average in Contact Rate, RBIs, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage.

Their struggles on offense are poised to persist on Wednesday night as they are set to face off against David Peterson who has excelled at keeping opposing runners out of scoring position. In his 21 starts, Peterson is averaging an ERA of 2.83 and a FIP of 3.33. His success can be attributed to his aggressive nature as Peterson is also averaging less than one Hit per inning.

Like the Guardians, the New York Mets have struggled with making contact as their lineup has fallen down to the bottom half of the board in Team Total Hits over the past few weeks of play. To make matters worse for the Mets, they face off against the Guardians Gavin Williams who generates Strikeouts at a very high rate. As of writing, Williams is averaging over on Strikeout per Inning Pitched and a ERA of 3.33.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Toronto Blue Jays vs. Colorado Rockies - Kevin Gausman vs. Kyle Freeland - With Kyle Freeland set to take the mound, we continue to fade Colorado as the Rockies pitcher is averaging an ERA of 5.26 and nearly two runners on base per inning while supported by a defense who ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.

• Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners - Jonathan Cannon vs. George Kirby - Expect the Seattle Mariners to open up the scoring early on in their contest against the Chicago White Sox as they face off against Jonathan Cannon who is averaging an ERA of 4.77, a WHIP of 1.410, and a FIP of 4.93.

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