With the New York Mets struggling to generate offense, Brad Lord is in a position to thrive as the Washington Nationals pitcher excels at avoiding contact. Shortly after their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the Chicago White Sox and Atlanta Braves as two productive pitchers take the mound to battle it out against a pair of underwhelming offenses.
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After getting off to a hot start to the season, the New York Mets have seen their odds to win the NL East division title steadily decline as they are currently 5.5 games back from the Philadelphia Phillies for first. Their regression on offense has played a major role in their recent struggles as the Mets continue to fall down the board in Team Total Hits and in Total Runs Scored.
Unfortunately for the Mets, their struggles on offense are poised to persist in a divisional matchup against Washington as they face off against Brad Lord who excels at avoiding contact. As of writing, the Nationals pitcher is averaging an ERA of 3.26 and less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched. Expect Lord to take advantage of the Mets' struggles with making contact and hold them scoreless in the first inning.
As for Kodai Senga, the Mets pitcher draws a much more favorable matchup as he faces off against a Nationals offense who ranks below league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Expect the Nationals to continue to struggle with getting into scoring position as Senga enters the contest averaging an ERA of 2.35 while surrounded by a defense who ranks top-12 in Fielding Percentage.
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After putting together one of the worst offensive performances last season, the Chicago White Sox have carried over their low level of play into this season as their lineup ranks near dead last in Contact Rate, Slugger Percentage, and in On Base Percentage. Their inability to generate Hits also hurts their ability to score as the White Sox rank 27th overall in Total Runs Scored and 28th in RBIs.
With Hurston Waldrep taking the mound for Atlanta, the White Sox offense will continue to struggle with making contact as the Braves pitcher is currently averaging an ERA of 1.02, a WHIP of 0.792, and a FIP of 2.04. Especially when Waldrep is surrounded by a productive back end as the Braves' defense ranks above league average in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.
On the other side of the field, Martin Perez is also in a position to thrive as the White Sox pitcher faces off against a Braves offense who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Contact Rate. Even when supported by a very underwhelming back end, Perez has shown he can neutralize any offense with just his individual production on the mound as he enters the contest averaging an ERA of 3.09 and a FIP of 3.59.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies - Shohei Ohtani vs. Tanner Gordon - Expect the reigning World Series champions to open up the scoring in the first inning against Colorado as they face off against Tanner Gordon who is averaging nearly two runners on base per inning and a defense who ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins - Andre Pallante vs. Sandy Alcantara - With Sandy Alcantara averaging an ERA of 6.31 and a FIP of 4.40, expect his struggles on the mound to be on full display as he faces off against a St. Louis Cardinals offense who ranks above league average in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage.
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