Best NRFI Bets Today: Fade a Pair of Top Tier Offenses

With two productive arms set to take the mound, expect the Toronto Blue Jays and Cincinnati Reds to get off to a slow start as both pitchers are also surrounded by a pair of back ends who excel in coverage. Shortly after their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards Seattle and Tampa Bay as Bryan Woo faces off against a Rays offense who struggles with getting into scoring position.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cincinnati Reds - Jose Berrios vs. Nick Lodolo (6:40 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-130) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

With less than 30 games remaining in the season, time is quickly running out for the Cincinnati Reds in their efforts of playing in the postseason as they are currently four games back from the New York Mets for the last spot in the playoffs. Their chances of winning the division title are also non-existent as the Milwaukee Brewers possess a 14.5 game lead for first in the NL Central.

Unfortunately for Cincinnati, negative regression looms large in their matchup against Toronto as they face off against Jose Berrios who is currently averaging an ERA of 3.95 and less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched. With Berrios avoiding contact at a high rate, expect the Reds to struggle to get into scoring position as their offense ranks below league average in On Base Percentage and in Slugger Percentage.

As for Nick Lodolo, the Reds pitcher draws a tough assignment as he is set to battle it out against a Blue Jays offense who leads the league in Team Total Hits and in On Base Percentage. Luckily for Lodolo, his back end will help reduce the amount of contact variance in his outing with their suffocating coverage as the Reds defense ranks seventh overall in Defensive Efficiency.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays - Bryan Woo vs. Drew Rasmussen (7:35 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-130) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

Like the Reds, time is also not on Tampa Bay’s side as the Rays are currently 11 games back from Toronto for first in the AL East division standings and 5.5 games back from Seattle in the wildcard standings. Their regression on offense has played a major role in their struggles as the Rays rank below league average in Total Runs Scored and in On Base Percentage.

In a pivotal matchup against Seattle, the Rays struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against Bryan Woo who has been dominant on the mound. In his 26 starts, Woo is averaging an ERA of 2.95 and a FIP of 0.953. His success can be attributed to his high Whiff Rate as Woo is also averaging less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

On the other side of the field, Drew Rasmussen faces off against a Seattle offense who is in the midst of a cold stretch of play as the Mariners continue to fall down the board in Contact Rate. Expect the Mariners to continue to struggle with generating Hits as Rasmussen takes the mound averaging an ERA of 2.64, a WHIP of .979, a FIP of 3.42, and less than five Hits per game.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox - Slade Cecconi vs. Garrett Crochet - With the Boston Red Sox making contact at the fifth highest rate in the league, their offense will have the opportunity to open up the scoring early on in their contest against Cleveland as they face off against Slade Cecconi who is averaging an ERA of 4.41 and FIP of 4.90.

• Athletics vs. St. Louis Cardinals - Luis Severino vs. Miles Mikolas - Expect the St. Louis Cardinals to get into scoring position from the opening pitch as they battle it out against Luis Severino who is averaging a WHIP of 1.342 and an Athletics defense who ranks 24th in Fielding Percentage.

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