Best NRFI Bets Today: Kick Off October With a Pair of NRFIs

With the Cincinnati Reds offense struggling to make contact, the Los Angeles Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto has a great opportunity to get off to a hot start as he generates Whiffs at a very high rate. Before their opening pitch takes place, we turn our attention towards the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees as a pair of productive arms are set to take the mound.

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Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers - Zack Littell vs. Yoshinobu Yamamoto (9:08 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-120) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

After finishing his rookie campaign on a high note, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been able to carry over his success into this season as the Cy Young contender is currently averaging an ERA of 2.49, a WHIP of 0.990, and a FIP of 2.94. His success stems from his high Whiff Rate as the Dodgers pitcher also averages more than one Strikeout and less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched.

In Wednesday night’s playoff matchup against Cincinnati, Yamamoto will have a great opportunity to generate another high volume of Strikeouts as he faces off against a Reds offense who ranks below league average in Team Total Hits and in Strikeout Rate. With the Reds struggling to string together their Hits, expect their offense to be held off the bases and out of scoring position.

While the Reds offense have struggled, the Dodgers have thrived as they reside near the top of the board in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Unfortunately for the reigning World Series champions, negative regression looms large as they are set to battle it out against Zack Littell who is currently averaging a WHIP of 1.104 while supported by a defense who ranks top-5 in Defensive Efficiency.

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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees - Brayan Bello vs. Carlos Rodon (6:08 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-145) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

Even though the New York Yankees fell just short in their efforts of winning the AL East division title, they are still one of the best teams in the league as they finished the year tied with Toronto for the best record in the AL. Their offense played a major role in their success this season as the Yankees lineup ranks above league average in Contact Rate, Total Runs Scored, RBIs, and in On Base Percentage.

With Brayan Bello on the mound, the Yankees will struggle to sustain their high level of play on offense as the Boston Red Sox pitcher enters the contest averaging an ERA of 3.35 and an Adjusted HR9 of 0.90. While his Strikeout Rate is low, Bello still excels at putting opposing batters in low quality contact scenarios as he also averages less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched.

On the other side of the field, the Yankees are projected to trot out Carlos Rodon who is currently averaging an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.049. Even with the Red Sox offense grading equally as well as the Yankees in the same previously mentioned metrics, Rodon is still in a position to thrive as his back end helps reduce the amount of variance in his starts as their top-10 mark in Defensive Efficiency indicates.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians - Casey Mize vs. Tanner Bibee - After cashing the YRFI in game one, we go back to the well as the Detroit Tigers face off against Tanner Bibee who is averaging a FIP of 4.34 and a Cleveland Guardians defense who ranks near the bottom of the board in Fielding Percentage.

• San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs - Dylan Cease vs. Andrew Kittredge - With Dylan Cease on the mound, the Chicago Cubs will have a great opportunity to get into scoring position from the opening pitch as the San Diego Padres pitcher enters the contest averaging an ERA of 4.55 and a WHIP of 1.327.

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