Best NRFI Bets Today: The Tigers Struggles on Offense are Poised to Persist

After failing to bring home their runners on base in game two, the Detroit Tigers struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against Logan Gilbert who excels at avoiding contact. Later in the night, we turn our attention towards the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees as Shane Bieber has the opportunity to generate a high volume of whiffs against an offense who strikes out at a very high rate.

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Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers - Logan Gilbert vs. Jack Flaherty (4:08 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-140) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

Once regarded as one of the more formidable lineups in the league, the Detroit Tigers bats have cooled off since the start of September as their offense continues to struggle to string together their Hits. This has resulted in them leaving their runners on base at a high rate which leaves them vulnerable to falling quickly behind on the scoreboard.

Unfortunately for the Tigers, their struggles on offense will continue to be a thorn in their side in game three as they face off against Logan Gilbert who has excelled at keeping opposing runners off the bases this season. In his 25 starts, Gilbert is averaging an ERA of 3.44, a WHIP of 1.031, a FIP of 3.35, and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

Gilbert’s productive back end also helps reduce the amount of contact variance in his starts with their coverage as the Seattle Mariners defense ranks above league average in Defensive Efficiency and in Fielding Percentage. Their suffocating coverage helps lessen the width of the gaps in their outfield which drastically lowers the Tigers chances of generating a Hit.

On the other side of the field, Jack Flaherty is set to take the mound to battle it out against an offense who ranks below league average in Contact Rate. With Flaherty averaging less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched and a FIP of 3.85, expect the Mariners to continue to struggle with making contact at a consistent rate. Especially with his defense excelling in coverage as the Tigers rank top-15 in Defensive Efficiency.

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Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees - Shane Bieber vs. Carlos Rodon (8:08 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

After holding off the New York Yankees in the AL East division standings in the regular season, the Toronto Blue Jays have the opportunity to embarrass them even more as they currently possess a 2-0 series lead. The Blue Jays offense have had no issue with lighting up the scoreboard as they have scored a combined 23 runs in the first two games of the series.

A high level of play that we have been accustomed to this season as the Blue Jays offense finished the year ranked near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, On Base Percentage, and in Slugger Percentage. Their ability to make contact at a consistent rate has helped them in their efforts of scoring as the Blue Jays also rank above league average in RBIs and in Total Runs Scored.

In Tuesday night’s contest against the Yankees, negative regression looms large over the Blue Jays offense as they face off against Carlos Rodon who is averaging an ERA of 3.09, a WHIP of 1.049, and a FIP of 3.78. His success can be attributed to his high Whiff Rate as he also averages less than one Hit Against and more than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched.

Speaking of Whiff Rate, the Yankees aggression on offense hurts their chances of making contact as they rank near the bottom of the board in Strikeout Rate. With Shane Bieber on the mound, expect the Yankees to continue to struggle at the plate as the former Cy Young winner is averaging a WHIP of 1.017 while supported by a back end who ranks 14th in Defensive Efficiency.

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