Best NRFI Bets Today: Expect No Early Runs to be Scored in the Night Slate

With Jose Soriano projected to get the start for the Los Angeles Angels, negative regression looms large over the Atlanta Braves bats who have been red hot over the past week of play. Shortly after their opening pitch, we turn our attention towards the Philadelphia Phillies and San Francisco Giants as a pair of productive pitchers are set to take the mound to battle it out against two underwhelming offenses.

Looking for more MLB betting insights? Check our selection of the Best MLB Home Run Props Today.

Best NRFI Bets for Monday, April 6

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Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels - Chris Sale vs. Jose Soriano (9:38 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-135) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

After nearly winning the NL Cy Young award last year, the Atlanta Braves ace Chris Sale has been able to carry over his momentum into this season, averaging an ERA of 0.75, a WHIP of 0.583, and a FIP of 3.77. Sale’s hot start can be attributed to his low Hit Rate, generating less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched and just three total Hits stretched out over nine innings.

In a favorable matchup against the Los Angeles Angels, expect Sale to continue to thrive by exploiting a lineup who ranks below league average in Contact Rate, Strikeout Rate, and in OPS. Especially with Mike Trout sitting out with an injury, leaving the Angeles top of their order vulnerable to slow starts which increases Sale’s chances of escaping the first inning without conceding a run.

Facing off against Sale is Jose Soriano, a rocket arm for the Angeles who takes the mound averaging a WHIP of 0.833, a FIP of 2.85, and nearly one Strikeout per Inning Pitched. Even with the Braves star studded lineup rounding back into competitive form, Soriano’s aggression will force them into low quality contact scenarios, creating ground outs at a higher rate to help keep a clean sheet.

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants - Andrew Painter vs. Adrian Houser (9:45 PM, EST)

Under 0.5 Run (-120) at Hard Rock Bet Sportsbook

Even after re-tooling their lineup in the offseason, the San Francisco Giants have still severely underwhelmed on offense, sitting near the bottom of the board in Hit Rate and in On Base Percentage. Their inability to string together their Hits has resulted in a high volume of runners stranded on base as the Giants also rank well below league average in Total Runs Scored and in RBIs.

Heading into Monday night, the Giants struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against the Philadelphia Phillies Andrew Painter who has excelled at keeping opposing runners out of scoring position by averaging a WHIP of 0.938 and a FIP of 0.75. Especially with the Phillies reducing the amount of variance in his starts with their coverage, fielding a back end who ranks in the top-15 Fielding Percentage.

On the other side of the field, Adrian Houser has been equally as impressive as his counterpart, averaging an ERA of 1.69 and a FIP of 2.25. Even with Houser struggling to create Whiffs, Philadelphia’s poor mark in Hit Rate will make it easier for him to generate Strikeouts, increasing his chances of holding the Phillies out of scoring position to help keep them off the scoreboard in the first inning.

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Best YRFI Bets Today

• Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins - Brandon Williamson vs. Janson Junk - With the Cincinnati’s Brandon Williamson projected to get the start for the Reds, the Miami Marlins will be able to get off to a hot start by taking advantage of an arm who is currently averaging a FIP of 11.54 and nearly two runners on base per inning.

• Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers - Logan Gilbert vs. Jacob deGrom - In a AL West divisional matchup between the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers, expect their top of the orders to open up the scoring early on in their contest by attacking a pair of veteran pitchers who both average an ERA higher than 5.00.

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