Odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook.
|Martin Truex Jr.||+1200|
Denny Hamlin to win the race at +800
Ross Chastain to finish in the top three at +300
Ross Chastain to beat Joey Logano head-to-head at -105
Hamlin is the only driver in the field with three victories at the track, and Joe Gibbs Racing teammate Kyle Busch (two wins) is the only other driver with more than one.
Accordingly, we expect the JGR Toyotas to show their customary speed in Sunday’s race, even with the transition to the new car.
Tyler Reddick, not Denny Hamlin, is the favorite to win Sunday’s Dixie Vodka 400, with a price at +700 via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Reddick has never won a NASCAR Cup Series race at Homestead-Miami Speedway, but he was fourth in his 2020 debut and second to William Byron last year.
Nor is Reddick far removed from his back-to-back victories at the 1.5-mile track in 2018 and 2019, when he ran the wall to two straight Xfinity Series titles with two different teams—JR Motorsports and Richard Childress Racing.
Nevertheless, Chastain’s second-place run reasserted his overall superiority at 1.5-mile tracks, where he has scored 67 more points than any other Playoff contender.
Homestead is another intermediate track, and we expect Chastain to finish in the top three once again at +300.
We also expect him to turn the tables on Logano and beat him head-to-head at -105.
|Race||Dixie Vodka 400 NASCAR Cup Series race|
|Time||Sunday, October 23, 2:30 p.m. ET|
|How to Watch||NBC|
Award-winning motorsports writer Reid Spencer has served as lead writer for the NASCAR Wire Service for 16 years, having also spent a four-year stint as NASCAR columnist and beat writer for Sporting News. He is currently serving as president of the National Motorsports Press Association. Email: [email protected]More info on Reid Spencer
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