The Pats' last five games have finished with over 43.5 points
New England’s run defense is allowing 4.7 YPC in the previous three weeks
Drake Mays is averaging 255.5 pass yards per game this season
The New York Jets remain one of the league’s worst teams, but they enter this Thursday Night Football match riding a two-game win streak. They will face a great New England Patriots team in Boston, leading to a large spread and some fantastic bets. Can the Jets build on their success and pull off an upset against their AFC East rival, or will we once again see the bumbling version we saw over the first seven weeks?
Find more info with our AFC East odds and predictions.
We’ll provide insights into each leg of our favorite same-game parlay for this matchup below, using odds taken from Caesars Sportsbook, one of our top-rated parlay betting sites.
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| Best Jets vs Patriots SGP Picks | Odds | Double Your Winnings at Caesars |
|---|---|---|
| Leg 1: Over 43.5 | -107 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 2: Breece Hall Anytime TD | +142 | CLAIM HERE |
| Leg 3: Drake Maye Over 239.5 Passing Yards | -115 | CLAIM HERE |
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The Patriots continue to be one of the best teams in the NFL in 2025, but we hesitate to give up so many points to back them on Thursday Night Football. The obvious mismatch can lead to a slow start for New England and inspire a bad Jets team to put their best foot forward against their old division rival.
As a result, we are taking the over for this game. As bad as the Jets have been on offense (21.5 PPG), the Pats have been incredible, scoring 26.5 points per game. While New England’s defense is far better than anyone expected, they have allowed points late in games. As a result, the Pats' last five games have all covered this 43.5 point total.
The Jets' offense is a mess that was made even worse at the trade deadline. However, they have scored 66 points over their last two games. Those were against far worse defenses, but still demonstrate that some playmaking ability still exists on the Jets’ roster.
It is also worth mentioning that the forecast is clear for this Thursday Night Football game, which will allow these offenses to work at full speed.
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The Patriots' run defense is good, but Breece Hall is pretty much all this Jets offense has now. That has led to 664 rushing and 220 receiving yards, along with three touchdowns. While his scoring is down, that has changed during the team’s two-game win streak, when he registered his first three touchdowns of the season.
The Patriots lead the league in rushing yards allowed per game (79.2), but things haven’t looked as sharp over the last three weeks. They have allowed 4.7 YPC during that span, despite playing some weaker offenses.
New England will contain Hall for at least the start of this game, but the volume he is seeing gives him plenty of chances to find the end zone.
The last time Hall was in New England, he averaged 5.0 yards on just 12 carries.
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Drake Maye has elevated his game in 2025 and continues to grow as the season progresses. He is averaging 255.5 passing yards per game on the season, completing 71.7% of his passes. The 23-year-old surpassed this low passing total in three consecutive games, and we expect him to continue that streak in prime time.
We would back Maye against almost any defense, but this week he’ll face an especially soft test against the Jets. New York had a fire sale at the trade deadline, which included sending away their top two cornerbacks. We saw them survive the Browns last week, but that won’t be the case against a far superior Pats attack.
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