Los Angeles comes into this game with a record of 6-3, leading the AFC West
The Steelers are 5-3 coming off their win over the Colts
The Chargers are three-point favorites with a total of 45.5
Pittsburgh took down the Indianapolis Colts one week ago and have all the momentum in the world. However, they’ll have a tough challenge heading across the country to face the Chargers.
Los Angeles keeps stringing wins together, and the Chiefs keep losing, so the Chargers should feel good about their season so far, which is reflected in their AFC West odds.
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| Best Steelers vs Chargers Prop Bets | Odds | Get $200 in Bonus Bets at bet365 |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Herbert Over 249.5 Passing Yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Ladd McConkey Over 59.5 Receiving Yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Jaylen Warren Under 59.5 Rushing Yards | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
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Justin Herbert remains one of the best passers in the NFL, and this line feels very manageable. He’s gone over 249.5 passing yards in three of his last five games.
The Steelers’ defense, surprisingly, has been among the league’s worst. This is something rarely said about a Mike Tomlin unit. Pittsburgh ranks last in the NFL against the pass, allowing 278.3 yards per game.
Herbert has faced the Steelers twice in his career, topping this mark once with a 382-yard outing. Considering Pittsburgh just gave up 342 yards to Daniel Jones, another big performance from Herbert seems likely.
With Omarion Hampton on injured reserve, Los Angeles has leaned away from the run game, giving Herbert even more passing opportunities. Expect Jim Harbaugh to attack the Steelers’ vulnerable secondary with deep shots down the field.
With weapons like Ladd McConkey and Keenan Allen, Herbert should thrive in this primetime spot especially at home, where he typically performs at his best.
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Ladd McConkey has quickly become Herbert’s favorite target, and this line feels a bit too low. He’s clearly emerged as the No. 1 receiver in this offense and has surpassed 59.5 receiving yards in three of his last five games.
McConkey’s ability to create yards after the catch makes him dangerous on every play. He posted a 100-yard performance against Miami earlier this year, and he should another strong opportunity against a soft Steelers secondary.
So far this season, McConkey has totaled 47 receptions for 524 yards and three touchdowns. Expect Herbert to look his way often, especially if the Chargers find themselves in a tight or trailing game.
While Keenan Allen remains a reliable red-zone threat, McConkey dominates targets all over the field. The Steelers just allowed 115 yards to Michael Pittman last week, and McConkey has a good chance to post similar numbers in this matchup.
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The final prop I like is Jaylen Warren to go under 59.5 rushing yards. The Chargers’ defense has quietly become one of the toughest units in football, particularly against the run.
Warren has failed to reach 60 rushing yards in three of his last five games and is coming off a modest 31-yard outing against the Colts. He also shares carries with rookie Kaleb Johnson and Kenneth Gainwell, limiting his overall volume.
Mike Tomlin will try to establish the run early, but the Chargers’ front seven should shut it down quickly. Warren has 99 carries for 404 yards and two touchdowns this season, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt.
If Pittsburgh falls behind, the offense will shift toward the passing game with Aaron Rodgers and D.K. Metcalf leading the charge. This game script likely keeps Warren from seeing enough touches to challenge this number.
Expect the Chargers to key in on the run and make life difficult for Pittsburgh’s backfield, holding Warren well below 60 yards on Sunday night.
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