The Texans have won five in a row, while the Cardinals have lost five in a row
Four of Houston’s five wins in games started by C.J. Stroud have been won by at least 10 points
Nico Collins has at least 75 receiving yards in five of his last six games
Over the last month, the Houston Texans have become one of the hottest teams in the NFL. With five straight wins, the Texans are in the middle of the playoff race despite starting the season 0-3. Houston is in a perfect position to stay hot in Week 15 when it hosts the Arizona Cardinals. This has become a lost season for the Cardinals, who have lost five in a row, including last week’s 45-17 home loss to the Rams.
While Arizona’s season is all but over, the Texans are still in the hunt to win the AFC South. On top of that, Houston’s Super Bowl LX odds have also improved dramatically in recent weeks. That gives the Texans a lot to play for late in the season.
On paper, this doesn’t look like the most compelling game on the Week 15 schedule. But the fact that the result looks somewhat predictable makes it perfect for putting together a same-game parlay.
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| Best Texans vs. Cardinals SGP Picks | Odds | Double Your Winnings at Caesars |
|---|---|---|
| Texans -9.5 | -110 | CLAIM HERE |
| Under 42.5 | -113 | CLAIM HERE |
| Nico Collins Over 71.5 Receiving Yards | -125 | CLAIM HERE |
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This bet comes with a little bit of a risk because double-digit wins haven’t been a regular occurrence for the Texans. However, four of Houston’s five wins with C.J. Stroud starting have come by at least 10 points, including last week’s win over the Chiefs. Plus, the Texans have the best defense in the league, yielding fewer than 20 points in six of their last seven games. That makes it a little easier to envision another double-digit win.
Equally important, the Cardinals have become vulnerable to lopsided losses. During their current five-game losing streak, three of their losses have come by over 20 points. With Jacoby Brissett and a lackluster rushing attack going against an elite defense, points will be hard to come by in this game, making it difficult to stay within 10 points.
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Given the expected struggles of the Arizona offense, it’s best to lean toward the under in this game. If good offensive teams can’t reach the 20-point plateau against the Texans, the Cardinals will have a hard time scoring more than 10 points, keeping this a low-scoring game, even if the Texans cover the 9.5-point spread.
Keep in mind that the Cardinals have stayed under the point total in four of their six road games. Likewise, the Texans have only hit the over once in six home games. Both of those trends point toward a low-scoring game. Even during Houston’s five-game winning streak, the Texans don’t have a high-flying offense, scoring 23 points or less in four of those five games. That makes the under the safe choice, even in a lopsided game.
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Collins has been on a hot streak since the start of November. He’s amassed at least 75 receiving yards in five of his last six games, going over 90 yards in four of those games. Even against quality defensive teams like the Broncos and Chiefs, Collins has been productive. He’s been even better since C.J. Stroud returned from injury, going for 219 total receiving yards over his last two games.
There’s no reason to think the Stroud-to-Collins connection won’t continue to thrive this week. Collins is both a big-play threat and a high-volume receiver. The Cardinals also have an injury-plagued secondary that was shredded by Puka Nacua last week. Even if Collins doesn’t match Nacua’s 167 receiving yards, he should have no problem topping 71.5 receiving yards against the Arizona defense.
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