2025 WNBA Finals MVP Predictions, Picks and Odds: A’ja Wilson, Alyssa Thomas Open Finals Favored to Win MVP

• A’ja Wilson now has a 56.52% chance of winning WNBA Finals MVP; the Aces have a 56.52% chance of winning the Finals

• Seven regular-season MVPs went on to win the WNBA Finals MVP in the same season

• Alyssa Thomas now has a 38.46% chance of winning WNBA Finals MVP; the Mercury have a 47.62% chance of winning the Finals

We’ll find during the postseason who won regular season MVP honors (A’ja Wilson), but with the playoffs underway, there is another MVP-market bettors need to pay attention to—WNBA Finals MVP.

The odds for your favorite player will more than likely get shorter as teams are eliminated. So, you have to ask yourself a question: Do I roll the dice, bet early, get longer odds, and take a chance on my team getting eliminated? Or do I wait until the field thins out and then pounce?

Come back to this page throughout the postseason, and we’ll keep you up to date on the latest WNBA Finals MVP odds and analysis.

WNBA Finals MVP Odds

Odds taken from FanDuel Sportsbook. Head over to FanDuel to place your bets and claim the following bonus: Bet $5, Get $300 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins.

WNBA Finals MVP Analysis

A’ja Wilson, the regular season MVP, is the obvious first choice from the team favored to win the title, the Las Vegas Aces. Not only did she lead the league in scoring during the regular season, but she also averaged a double-double (10.2 rebounds) and recorded 21 double-doubles.

Alyssa Thomas has led the way for the Mercury this season. She isn’t the same type of scoring threat as Wilson, averaging 15.4 points per game, but she was also active on the boards (8.8 per game) and dished out quite a few dimes (9.2 per game). 

She tied with Angel Reese for most double-doubles (23). Thomas also recorded eight triple-doubles, more than the rest of the league combined.

Both players have stepped up their game in the playoffs and will likely be the focus of the opposing team’s defensive strategy. If someone else were to need to step up for each team, Jackie Young would be the likely candidate for the Aces, and Satou Sabally for the Mercury.

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WNBA MVP Finals Winner - My Picks

If you want to bet on A’ja Wilson (-130), now is the time; her odds will likely get shorter after Game One. The same is also true for Alyssa Thomas (+160). Whoever is on the losing team may see a slight bump, but I wouldn’t count on it.

However, while the superstar from each team is an obvious choice, it is not unusual to see a role player make a more significant impact, as the opposition will focus on preventing the superstar from winning the series.

Jackie Young (+2500) is a solid choice if you believe the Aces will win. If the Mercury succeeds in minimizing Wilson, she is the player most likely to step up. For the Mercury, I’d have to say Satou Sabally (+1100). If she heats up from three-point range, she could easily steal the show from Thomas.

At their current odds, both players certainly have value.

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WNBA Finals MVP - History 

Below is a table containing the WNBA Finals MVP winners.

How to Bet on WNBA Finals MVP Odds

Betting on WNBA Finals MVP odds is easy; the most challenging part is deciding when. Bet too early and you risk your player’s team getting eliminated before the Finals. But the longer you wait, the shorter a player’s odds become, and your payout shrinks accordingly.

To place a bet, follow these simple instructions:

1. If you haven’t yet, register for a new account with a sportsbook you want to bet with. Be sure to claim whatever welcome promo it may offer.

2. Make a deposit.

3. Locate the WNBA Finals MVP odds and click on the player of your choice.

4. Enter how much you want to risk on the bet slip and place your bet.

How to Read WNBA Finals MVP Odds

WNBA Finals MVP odds, like all futures markets, are listed with three numbers with a plus (+) or minus (-) sign.

Most markets will get listed with a plus sign. However, as the postseason goes on, if one team emerges as a heavy favorite to win the championship, one or two of their players could have minus odds, giving them a better than 50% chance of winning.

Let’s say you want to put money on Player A to win at +700. A $100 wager at +700 would result in an $800 payday, your stake plus $700 in winnings. But if you wait until the final two teams are decided, Player A will probably have minus odds, i.e., -200.

At those odds, you would need to risk $200 to win $100.

Where to Bet on WNBA Finals MVP Odds

The following are my preferred online sportsbooks for betting on the WNBA:

• BetMGM Sportsbook: BetMGM offers some free-to-play games to earn bonus bets. Sign up for a BetMGM account with our promo code WSNSPORTS and get the following offer: Bet $10, Get $150 if You Win*. Interested to learn more?

• bet365 Sportsbook: New customers at bet365 can claim: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets Win or Lose. While Bonus Bets can’t be withdrawn for cash, they give players a chance to boost their bankroll without spending more real money. Just remember to use our promo code WSN365.

• Caesars Sportsbook: The odds above are from Caesars, and it was the first to offer these odds during the preseason. There’s a new player-friendly welcome bonus and frequent odds boosts. Use our promo code WSN20X to sign up for a Caesars account and claim the welcome offer: Bet $1, Double Your Winnings Next 20 Bets.