SC Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach - Predictions, Odds and Live Stream

Our Pick: Take the "Yes" option here.

  • The Bundesliga weekend begins with Gladbach’s attempt to keep up its top-four challenge at the Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Marco Rose’s side was back to its best against Union Berlin last time out
  • Freiburg has endured a wobble of late and will probably come unstuck again here
What Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach
Where Schwarzwald-Stadion, Freiburg, Germany
When Friday, 5 June 2020, 2:30 PM EST
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After two games without a victory, Borussia Monchengladbach returned to winning ways against Union Berlin last weekend. It was an important triumph for a team that is chasing a Champions League qualification spot, with Gladbach still occupying a place in the top four heading into matchday 30.

With only five games remaining, the race for third and fourth is hotting up. Gladbach must still face Bayern Munich – a daunting task for any team on the planet right now – and Wolfsburg, which is fighting its own battle to qualify for the Europa League. Dropping points against Freiburg is therefore not an option for Marco Rose’s men, whose fate is in their own hands by the most slender of margins.

Freiburg has not discarded its own continental ambitions just yet. Sixth place brings with it a place in the Europa League, as will seventh if the winner of the DFB-Pokal has already qualified for European competition via its league position. With Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich the favorites to contest the final, that looks highly probable.

Freiburg is just four points adrift of Wolfsburg and Hoffenheim in sixth and seventh spot respectively, yet its recent form does not make for particularly positive reading. Christian Streich’s side has not won any of its four encounters since the Bundesliga’s return – and that run is likely to be extended against Gladbach on Friday.

Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach Odds

Borussia Monchengladbach to score first and win Odds
Yes +108
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No -150
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Odds taken June 4, 2020, from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Gladbach was back to its best in a 4-1 demolition of Union Berlin on Sunday. Florian Neuhaus broke the deadlock in the 17th minute and the home team was rarely troubled thereafter, coasting to its 17th win of the season – a tally bettered only by Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund.

Friday’s trip to Schwarzwald-Stadion could follow a similar pattern. Gladbach has scored the first goal in seven of its last 10 outings, while Freiburg has conceded the first in seven of its last 11.

Gladbach’s attack will be too much for Freiburg’s defense to handle, and with the host lacking self-belief, the concession of the game’s first goal could be a decisive blow to its chances of a positive result.

Gladbach Will Take the Initiative and Should Open the Scoring

As mentioned above, Gladbach strikes first more often than not. In some ways that is simply a consequence of winning more matches than it loses.

However, it is also true that Rose instructs his team to play on the front foot and get after opponents from the first whistle, which will surely be the approach again here.

The statistics bear this out. Gladbach is fifth in the Bundesliga table when only first halves are taken into account. In the second half of matches, the club ranks only seventh with five fewer points to its name. And although it has scored more goals after the break than before it, that is true of all but three other sides in Germany’s top flight. Almost 44 percent of Gladbach’s goals have come in the first half, which is a higher share than most of its Bundesliga rivals.

Freiburg Is Low on Confidence and Has Struggled for Clean Sheets

Freiburg was as high as fourth in the table earlier this season, occupying the final Champions League spot at the beginning of December. The team was never likely to maintain its position among the division’s leading quartet, though: after all, Freiburg has not finished that high in the top tier of German soccer since the mid-1990s.

Nevertheless, its bid for a Europa League placing has taken a hit in recent weeks. Freiburg has not won a match since March 7, having failed to emerge victorious from meetings with RB Leipzig, Werder Bremen, Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayer Leverkusen since the Bundesliga season resumed last month.

Almost as worrying is the side’s inability to keep clean sheets. In its first 14 games of the campaign, Freiburg shut out its opponent on four occasions. In its last 15 outings, it has conceded at least one goal 14 times. Confidence is consequently low, and Gladbach is well placed to take advantage.

Freiburg Will Find it Difficult to Stop a Gladbach Team that Has Rediscovered its Rhythm

Gladbach’s attack was firing on all cylinders once more against Union Berlin. Alassane Plea was superb in the 4-1 win, scoring once and providing the assists for both of Marcus Thuram’s strikes. Lars Stindl and Patrick Hermann also played well in support of Plea in Rose’s tried and trusted 4-2-3-1 formation.

Gladbach has failed to find the net in only one of its last 11 games, and a Freiburg team that has found it difficult to lock the back door in recent weeks will again struggle to keep out Rose’s dynamic forward line.

Our Pick

Take the Yes option here – Gladbach should strike first and hold on for all three points against an out-of-form Freiburg.

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