Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich: Predictions & Odds

Bayern should emerge victorious with a degree of comfort but Union’s recent scoring record offers the underdog a crumb of comfort.

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  • Bayern Munich is four points clear at the top and looking to resume its title tilt
  • Union Berlin is in mid-table despite having been tipped for relegation
  • Bayern will prove too strong for an opponent that thrives on its home crowd
What:Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich
Where:Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin, Germany
When:Sunday, 16 May 2020, 12:00 PM EST
How to watch:Stream live on bet365 NJ, Fox Sports, Fox Deportes

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By the time Bayern Munich begins its match against Union Berlin on Sunday, its lead at the top of the table may have been cut to just a single point. Borussia Dortmund currently occupies the second spot and knows that victory over Schalke on Saturday will put pressure on Bayern ahead of their trip to Berlin.

Bayern remains the favorite to win the title this term, with the side from Bavaria targeting an eighth consecutive Bundesliga crown. This has been a more turbulent season than normal for a club that is nicknamed FC Hollywood: Niko Kovac was sacked as manager in November and Bayern has fallen to as low as seventh in the standings.

Nevertheless, the Bayern machine – now under the control of Hans-Dieter Flick – continues to roll on and it is hard to envision them finishing anywhere other than the top of the table.

Union Berlin has exceeded expectations following its promotion to the top flight last term, but the capital club will struggle to halt this weekend’s visitors to the Stadion An der Alten Forsterei. A goal against the reigning champions may be the best Union can hope for.

Union Berlin vs Bayern Munich Odds

Bayern Munich to win and both teams to scoreOdds
Yes+175
No-265

Odds taken May 15, from DraftKings Sportsbook.

Bayern was in fantastic form before the season was put on hold. Between mid-December and mid-March, they won 10 of 11 matches in the Bundesliga, with RB Leipzig the only team to deny them victory in that time.

Flick has got Bayern’s attack firing again and also tightened up the defense. However, Union has scored in eight of its last nine encounters and has the potential to cause problems for Bayern’s backline. They found the net in the return fixture – a 2-1 win for Bayern in October – and will be quietly confident of doing the same here.

Bayern’s Strength Across the Pitch Will Be Too Much for Union

Bayern has been in formidable form since game week 15, when they crushed Werder Bremen 6-1. Since then they have beaten Hertha Berlin 4-0, Schalke 5-0, Koln 4-1, and Hoffenheim 6-0. They are also on the verge of advancing to the quarter-finals of the Champions League, having overcome Chelsea 3-0 in the first leg of their last-16 tie.

Once again, Bayern has the strongest squad in Germany. No team in the top division has scored more goals or conceded fewer. Serge Gnabry has emerged as a regular starter after the exits of wing duo Arjen Robben and Franck Ribery last summer. The former Arsenal man has been tremendous, scoring 11 goals and setting up nine more.

Bayern possesses a fine blend of creativity and solidity. The players are virtually the same but the difference between Flick’s team and Kovac’s is stark. Their attacks are now better organized and they have a better collective shape on both sides of the ball. It is difficult to see how Union will cope with their movement up front and invention in midfield.

Robert Lewandowski has been Europe’s Best Striker this Season

The star of Bayern’s frontline is Lewandowski, the greatest center-forward in world soccer today. The Poland international has been in sensational form this season, even when Bayern was struggling under Kovac in the early months of 2019/20.

Lewandowski has scored a remarkable 39 goals in 33 games in all competitions this term. Twenty-five of those have come in the Bundesliga, which is four more than any other player.

The problem with trying to defend against Lewandowski is that he can do everything. He comes alive in the penalty area and is dangerous in the air as well as on the ground. But if Union attempts to hold a high defensive line to force Lewandowski away from goal, they risk being undone by the pace of Gnabry in behind.

Union’s Attack has Improved Greatly and Could Breach Bayern’s Backline

The reasons detailed above make it difficult to see Union getting anything from this game, even if Bayern may not be firing on all cylinders following the lengthy pause in play. The home team will be further disadvantaged by the absence of their vociferous support at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei, with all matches now being held behind closed doors.

Yet Union has failed to score in only five of its 25 games this season. That is a superb record – title challengers RB Leipzig have failed to find the net three times, and fourth-placed Borussia Monchengladbach has been shut out on five occasions too.

Union will not go into this encounter with a gung-ho game plan, but nor will they spend the 90 minutes camped on the edge of their penalty area. If Bayern switch off or are guilty of defensive sloppiness, Union will be ready to punish them.

Our Pick

Take the Yes option here – Bayern should emerge victorious with a degree of comfort but Union’s recent scoring record offers the underdog a crumb of comfort.

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