LIV Golf Adelaide Predictions: Smith Can Delight the Galleries

• Young Aussie star Elvis Smyllie won last week on his LIV Golf debut

• Jon Rahm was second - yet again - last week

• The column has a +250 winner with Lucas Herbert’s top 10

LIV Golf Adelaide Odds

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LIV Golf Adelaide Picks and Predictions

• Cameron Smith each way at +2200 with Caesars Sportsbook

• Jose Luis Ballester each way at +4000 with Caesars Sportsbook

• Carlos Ortiz top 10 at +165 with bet365

LIV Golf Adelaide Intro

This will be the fourth LIV Golf visit to Australia, and two trends have already been established. 

The first is that the organisers and the fans have created a sensational atmosphere. Without question, this is what LIV Golf visualized for a golf tournament: noise, passion, and excitement to the max.

More surprisingly, the home heroes are yet to thrive in the Individual Championship. 

The first winner in 2023 was the American Talor Gooch, who carded opening rounds of 62-62 to open up an astounding 10-shot lead over the field after 36 holes. He eventually won by three strokes.

A year later, the unheralded Brendan Steele, another American, claimed victory.

And last year the Latin Americans shone: Chile’s Joaquin Niemann eventually shunting the two Mexicans Abraham Ancer and Carlos Ortiz into second.

Can the Aussies finally land the win this week?

There’s no reason why not because they’ll be encouraged by Elvis Smyllie’s victory last week on his LIV Golf debut.

Moreover, The Grange GC really should suit them with its fast fairways and rapid greens. 

Let’s take a closer look at the task ahead.

Top Finishers at The Grange GC

The Grange GC Course Notes

• The course is a par 72 that plays to 6,925 yards

• It is a composite of the club’s East and West courses

• It is located on the Adelaide sand belt, playing fast and true

• The greens are rapid

• Clever bunkering is the key protection of the card

Contenders to win LIV Golf Adelaide

Jon Rahm (+400)

Last week’s second place at LIV Riyadh was - incredibly - the Spaniard’s fourth runner-up finish on LIV in his last five starts. It shows remarkable consistency, and he ended last week in style too, thrashing five birdies in his closing six holes to complete a 9-under 63 that left him one shot short of the winning total. He was third at LIV Adelaide in 2023 and sixth last year. 

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David Puig (+800)

The Spaniard ended LIV 2025 with fourth place in LIV Indianapolis, and he opened the new season with the same finish at LIV Riyadh. In between, he enjoyed a fine time down under, winning the BMW Australian PGA Championship in November, so he should be excited to return to the southern hemisphere this week. He was fourth at The Grange last year.

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Bryson DeChambeau (+800)

Here is a curiosity: in three visits to LIV Adelaide, the American has failed to set the world alight. He was 26th in both 2023 and 2024, then 18th last year. He was also just 17th last week in Riyadh. It was a fourth LIV top 20 in a row, but it also marked a fifth consecutive failure to crack the top 10. Just one win in his last 28 LIV starts is also a mystery given his undoubted quality.

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Smith Can Delight the Galleries

If any of the Aussies are to win this week, why not the man who has, thus far, recorded the best finish in this event?

Cameron Smith was third at The Grange in 2023, and he was also fifth with 18 holes to play in 2024 before finishing T14. 

Form-wise, he was second at Royal Melbourne in the Australian Open at the end of last year, only denied on the final hole by a sensational par save from Denmark’s Rasmus Neergaard Petersen.

Take heart, also, from his T13 last week in Saudi Arabia that ended with a 65 and maintains his upturn in form since last year’s nose-dive.

Back him each way with Caesar’s Sportsbook offering +2200.

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Ballester Like it Down Under

Jose Luis Ballester has many connections with Spain’s golfing heritage. 

His surname recalls Seve Ballesteros, his Christian name Jose Maria Olazabal, his coach is Sergio Garcia’s father, and he plays on Jon Rahm’s Legion XIII team.

He also has game, and he played well in Australia before Christmas.

He was T10 at Royal Queensland, and then T6 at Royal Melbourne - and both those tracks play much as The Grange does. 

He also finished last week with two rounds of 66 after a slow start.

Back him each way at +4000 with bet365.

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Mexican Hot Down Under

Carlos Ortiz ended the 2025 season with two consecutive top 10s, and he would have opened 2026 in the same style but for a slow start.

In finishing LIV Riyadh with rounds of 65-68, he proved he is back to form and ended the week T13.

He was second at LIV Adelaide last year and had hinted at that result when he sat inside the top three through 18 and 36 holes in 2023 - only a poor final round ruined that result.

We should also take note that he was eighth in the Australian Open at Royal Melbourne last week. As discussed above, that’s a great form guide.

Keep it simple and take the +165 for another top 10 with bet365.

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How to Watch LIV Golf Adelaide

• Tournament: LIV Golf Adelaide

• Location: The Grange GC, Adelaide, Australia

• Date: THURSDAY FEBRUARY 12 - SUNDAY FEBRUARY 15

• How to watch: On the LIV Golf+ app, Fox Sports in the U.S., TNT Sports in the U.K., and the Seven Network in Australia.