LIV Golf Hong Kong Predictions: Garcia a Neat Fit

• Anthony Kim won LIV Adelaide amid emotional scenes

• Jon Rahm was second - yet again! - in Australia

• Sergio Garcia is the defending champion

LIV Golf Hong Kong Odds

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LIV Golf Hong Kong Picks and Predictions

• Sergio Garcia top 10 at +200 with bet365

• Tom McKibbin each way at +2000 with BetMGM

• Victor Perez top 20 at +125 with bet365

LIV Golf Hong Kong Intro

LIV Golf’s annual venture down under has always been the highlight of its schedule. 

The Australian galleries have been completely converted to the LIV experience, soaking up the party vibes and backing their compatriots loudly and enthusiastically.

But in last month’s LIV Adelaide, something extra special happened in the final round.

The day had started with Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau locked at the top of the leaderboard. 

A head-to-head between the rebel circuit’s two finest operators seemed inevitable.

And yet Anthony Kim swept both of them aside with a stunning performance that laughed in the face of his years in the wilderness and struggles when he returned to action in 2024.

As the crowds spilled across the final fairway, and his fellow competitors wiped away tears, Kim completed the victory with a roar.

Can LIV Hong Kong back up that energy? It will try, although the crowds will be a little more refined.

Let’s take a closer look at the task ahead.

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Top 5 Finishers at Hong Kong GC

The Hong Kong GC Course Notes

• The Fanling Course is a par 70 that plays to 6,710 yards

• It has been the regular host of the Hong Open since 1959

• It is a traditional design with tight fairways

• The putting surfaces are small with Bermuda grass

• It suits accurate ball strikers

Contenders to Win LIV Golf Hong Kong

Jon Rahm (+400) at bet365

Rahm’s second place in Adelaide made it five runner-up finishes in his last six LIV starts. It’s a run of supremely high-quality golf, but one that must be immensely frustrating, too. Since then, the Spaniard has elected not to join Hatton in agreeing to a short-term compromise with the DP World Tour over future playing rights. It’s another potential irritation, but it might also act as an incentive. He has finished eighth and sixth at Hong Kong GC in the past.

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Bryson DeChambeau (+900) at bet365

One round of golf has harmed the American’s hopes of contending in Hong Kong in the past. On debut in 2024, he ended round one in the top 10, slipped back, and then finished fast for sixth. Last year, he was top 10 through 36 holes before slipping to T20. His third-place finish last time out was his first top 10 anywhere since last July.

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David Puig (+1100) at bet365

It seems a near certainty that the Spanish youngster will become a winner on LIV but does he represent good value currently? Probably not. He’s played on the circuit 43 times and has just two top-three finishes, neither of them wins. Last time out, he was T51. And his best Hong Kong finish in four starts was T14.

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Garcia a Neat Fit

A successful defense of his title might be beyond Sergio Garcia this week, but a solid effort is well within his grasp.

His victory 12 months ago was not his first visit to Hong Kong GC and was, in fact, his second top 10 finish in four starts. 

Nor is it any surprise that a short, tree-lined, and tight layout suits his game. 

Golfers who thrive at Hong Kong have long been very fine Valderrama performers and Garcia loves it there (18 starts, 17 of them top 10 finishes). 

His 2026 LIV season has got off to a slow start (T30-T27) but before then he was a contender when fourth in the DP World Tour’s Bahrain Championship and this week’s test should revive that form. 

Back him to land a top 10 with bet365 offering +200.

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McKibbin is a Live Threat

The young Northern Irishman Tom McKibbin has very quickly taken to the Hong Kong test.

He was sixth at LIV Hong Kong this time last year, and then he lifted the Hong Kong Open when he returned to the venue in November. 

Nor are those his only good performances among the trees in the last 12 months. 

He was fourth at Valderrama, T11 at Wentworth, and fourth at Club de Campo in Madrid. 

He’s a terrific each way prospect this week and can be taken at +2000 with BetMGM.

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Perez Can Pounce

Back in late 2018, the Frenchman Victor Perez won in China on the Challenge Tour to confirm his graduation to the DP World Tour.

A few weeks later, he celebrated with third place in the Hong Open, his only previous start at this week’s venue. 

Memories of that week should be useful when it comes to triggering his debut season on LIV after a slow start (T54-T27). 

Perez very nearly won at Wentworth in 2020 (a course that has parallels with Hong Kong) and his best effort on the PGA Tour came at Hamilton in the Canadian Open (another good pointer). 

The clincher is that his ball-striking performance last time out was his best in 12 months.

Take the hint and back him to make the top 20 at +125 with bet365.

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How to Watch LIV Golf Hong Kong

• Tournament: LIV Golf Hong Kong

• Location: Fanling Course, Hong Kong GC, Hong Kong

• Date: THURSDAY MARCH 5 - SUNDAY MARCH 8

• How to Watch: On the LIV Golf+ app, Fox Sports in the U.S., TNT Sports in the U.K., and the Seven Network in Australia.