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LIV Golf League Riyadh Predictions: Rahm to Fire Early

Updated: February 2, 2026, 06:06 AM ET
6 min read
  • Jon Rahm on track to complete a hat trick of Individual Championships

  • Bryson DeChambeau remains LIV Golf’s greatest superstar

  • No Brooks Koepka or Patrick Reed after they leave LIV

LIV Golf Riyadh Odds

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PlayerOdds 
Jon Rahm+500
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Bryson DeChambeau+700
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David Puig+1000
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Tyrrell Hatton+1200
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Carlos Ortiz+1600
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Joaquin Niemann+1600
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Sebastian Munoz+1600
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Dean Burmester+2200
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Talor Gooch+2200
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Tom McKibbin+2200
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LIV Golf Riyadh Picks and Predictions

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LIV Golf League Riyadh Prediction February 4

LIV Golf Riyadh Intro

The fifth season of LIV Golf has started with yet more off-the-course headlines. 

This time, it is not about who had signed up to play on LIV. Instead, it is about who has left. 

So, while Brooks Koepka has returned to the PGA Tour, Patrick Reed decided to play on the DP World Tour.

The two decisions are a blow to the rebels, but they also remain bullish about the future. 

That said, there is now a sense that LIV is looking towards youngsters rather than big-name signings. 

There is also a new dynamic this year: four rounds instead of three, 72 holes instead of 54. 

Will it change who wins? Will the youngsters thrive?

There are many questions and it all makes for an intriguing year, one that starts in Saudi Arabia this week. 

Poland’s Adrian Meronk won the title last year, holding off Sebastian Munoz and Jon Rahm. 

Who will get off to a flier in 2026?

Let’s take a closer look at the task ahead.

Top Finishers at Riyadh Golf Club

YearTournamentPositionPlayerScore
2025Saudi International1stJose Luis Ballester (Spain)-22
2ndCaleb Surratt (USA)-19
2025LIV Golf Riyadh1stAdrian Meronk (Poland)-17
T2ndSebastian Munoz (Colombia)-15
T2ndJon Rahm (Spain)-15
2024Saudi International1stJoaquin Niemann (Chile)-21
T2ndCameron Smith (Australia)-20
T2ndCaleb Surratt (USA)-20
2024Saudi Open1stJohn Catlin (USA)-24
2ndWade Ormsby (Australia)-17

Riyadh Golf Club Notes

  • The course is a par 71 that plays to 7,411 yards

  • It was designed by Duncan Thomson and is known as ‘The Pearl of the Desert’

  • In addition to manmade lakes, there are many wadis (Arabic for dry ravines)

  • There is Paspalum grass on the putting surfaces

  • Expect low scoring

Contenders to win LIV Golf Riyadh

Jon Rahm (+500) at Caesars Sportsbook

It remains bewildering that the Spaniard has not won more often on LIV. Because while he has been the Individual Champion in both 2024 and 2025, he has only two tournament victories in his 26 starts. And, even odder, he did not claim even one victory in 2025 (although he was second in three of his last four starts).

Bet Match up to $250 - Win or Lose at Caesars

Bryson DeChambeau (+700) at bet365 Sportsbook

The two-time US Open champion is another LIV performer who doesn’t win as often as he should. In his case, he has just three wins in 45 starts - and only one win since September 2023. He’s a better player than that. Much better, in fact. He finished sixth at LIV Riyadh last year and was a winner in the Middle East at the 2019 Dubai Desert Classic.

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David Puig (+1000) at bet365 Sportsbook

The Spaniard vaults into the top three of the betting off sparkling form on the DP World Tour. He won November’s Australian PGA Championship and was then third and seventh in Dubai last month. The next step is to transfer that form to LIV where he has six top five finishes in 41 starts with a best of third back in 2024. He was sixth in LIV Riyadh last year.

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Rahm to Fire Early

Jon Rahm has not played anywhere since the second week of October which, for most golfers, would be a clear red flag. 

But Jon Rahm is not every golfer, and a long break might be just what he needed after a year of frustration. Moreover, he did win first time out in the 2023 Tournament of Champions. 

He’s also a three-time winner in the Middle East on the Earth Course in Dubai, and his debut at Riyadh was impressive too: three rounds of 67 for second place. 

He can improve on that this week.

Finally, it’s important to factor in the extension of events to 72 holes because it should play right into the big man’s hands. 

He will love the opportunity to grind the opposition down over four rounds, and he’s likely to be a winner again sooner rather than later.

Back him to win with Caesar’s Sportsbook offering +500.

Bet Match up to $250 - Win or Lose at Caesars

Niemann Can Bounce Back

Joaquin Niemann won the Saudi International at Riyadh in 2024 before finishing just 33rd at LIV Riyadh last year (and missing the cut in last year’s Saudi International). 

If that’s one boom or bust record, his 2025 season was another. 

The boom came in the form of five wins from 13 LIV starts. 

The bust was four finishes outside the top 20 and four missed cuts to close the year (away from LIV). 

Those bad results have seen his price rise, but if he finds his A (or even B) game it will offer great value. Niemann is still a quality operator. 

Back him each way at +1600 with bet365.

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First Page of the Leaderboard for Herbert

The Aussie Lucas Herbert likes playing golf in the Middle Eastern desert. 

He was the halfway leader when seventh on debut at the Emirates GC in Dubai in 2019, won there in 2020, and was third in 2023.

He was also third at Royal Greens in the 2023 Saudi International. 

He has also taken a shine to Riyadh GC. 

He was fourth in his event last year and fifth (with a final round 64) in last November’s Saudi International.

Keep it simple and take the +250 for another top 10 with bet365.

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How to Watch LIV Golf Riyadh

  • Tournament: LIV Golf Riyadh

  • Location: Riyadh Golf Club, Saudi Arabia

  • Date: WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 4 - SATURDAY FEBRUARY 7

  • How to Watch: On the LIV Golf+ app, Fox Sports in the U.S., TNT Sports in the U.K., and the Seven Network in Australia.

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Matt Cooper WSN Contributors

Matt Cooper

Golf Betting Analyst

Expertise:
Golf
Betting Picks
Matt Cooper has been a sports journalist since 2009 with his work appearing at ESPN, Sky Sports, NBC, Sporting Life and the Planet Sport Network among many others, in addition to guest appearances on the BBC and CNN. Although a specialist in golf, who has traveled the world to cover the sport, Matt has also covered rugby, cricket, football and the Olympics.
Email: matt.cooper@wsn.com
Nationality: British
Education: Bachelor of Arts (History)
Favourite Sportsbook: bet365 Sportsbook
Favourite Casino: BetMGM Casino
Experience: 16 years
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