US Open 2025 Predictions: Straka Looks Set to Strike

• The event takes place at Oakmont for the 10th time

• Dustin Johnson won with -5 the last time the tournament was held there

• Scottie Scheffler is a hot favorite to win his second straight Major   

US Open 2025 Odds

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US Open 2025 Picks and Predictions

• Sepp Straka each-way (1/4 odds, 5 Places) at +4000 with bet365

• Jon Rahm to beat Rory McIlroy in 72-hole match at -125 with bet365

• Harris English for Top 10 at +550 with bet365

US Open 2025 Intro

There was probably a collective gulp when it was announced that the US Open would be returning to Oakmont in 2025.

It’s the 10th time the Pennsylvanian par 70 will stage the tournament and history tells us just how brutally hard the course is.

In 2007, Angel Cabrera signed for a 72-hole total of 5-over and it was enough to win by a shot. 

Conditions that year were firm and fast.

The last time Oakmont played host, Dustin Johnson won with 4-under.

Conditions were soft and yet the three runners-up, Jim Furyk, Shane Lowry and Scott Piercy, were the only other players to shoot under par. All finished at 1-under.

Rain in the build-up has softened the course again this year but with thick rough everywhere, Oakmont will again be the severest of tests.

Six-under has won four of the last five US Opens while Americans have hoisted the silverware in eight of the last 10.    

Last 5 Winners of the US Open

Course Notes

• Oakmont Country Club was established in 1903

• It’s staged 10 US Opens, two US Women’s Opens, three PGAs and six US Amateurs

• The course has poa greens and measures 7,372 yards from the tips. Par is 70

• Rory McIlroy holds the 72-hole record for the US Open (268, Congressional 2011)

• Dustin Johnson’s 276 in 2016 is the low 72-hole score at Oakmont

• Johnny Miller’s closing 63 (1973) is the low 18-hole score at Oakmont

Favorites to Win the US Open 2025

Scottie Scheffler (+260) at bet365

Scheffler is clearly the man to beat again after a run of three wins (and a fourth) in his last four starts. That stretch includes victory in the most recent Major, the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow, and a successful defense of the Memorial Tournament last time. The World No.1 owns US Open form of 7-2-3-41 since 2021 and he actually played here as an amateur in the 2016 edition. He missed the cut but a 69 in round one put him seventh after 18 holes. 

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Bryson DeChambeau (+700) at bet365

DeChambeau has two Majors and both are US Opens. His first win in this event was a dominant six-shot victory at Winged Foot in 2020 while he picked Rory McIlroy’s pocket to add a second at Pinehurst last year. A third looks very much on the cards given that he’s finished tied fifth (Masters) and tied second (PGA) in the first two Majors of 2025. His elite driving will serve him well at Oakmont.

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Jon Rahm (+1100) at bet365

With Rory McIlroy missing the cut by a distance in Canada, Jon Rahm has moved to third in the betting. Rahm got his hands on the US Open trophy when finishing birdie-birdie to edge victory at Torrey Pines in 2021 while third at Pebble Beach in 2019 is one of four top 12s in the last five years. After eighth at the PGA and eighth again in last week’s LIV event, the Spaniard has dropped hints that a big week and third Major title looks close.

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Straka to Step up  

Although Rory looks to have fallen out of form and is struggling for focus after climbing his personal Everest by winning The Masters, it’s very easy to see one of Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau or Jon Rahm taking glory at Oakmont.

But their prices are short enough and the value lies with Sepp Straka.

The Austrian, who has an American mother, was perhaps a surprise runner-up in the 2023 Open Championship but this year he’s established himself as one of hottest players on the planet.

The world rankings tell you that: he’s eighth. The FedEx Cup standings tell you that: he’s third.

And yet despite those lofty positions and two wins already in 2025 (The American Express and Truist Championship), Straka is +4000 with bet365 in their each-way market (1/4 Odds, 5 Places).

That’s potentially a huge price.

Driving is absolutely key at Oakmont and the 35-year-old ranked 1st for both Strokes Gained: Off The Tee and Driving Accuracy when third at Memorial last time. 

A winner of the Truist Championship at nearby Philly Cricket Club last month, Straka is the bet to bag an even bigger prize on his return to Pennsylvania.

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Rahm to Roast Rory

It’s fair to say that last week’s 72-hole match bet in Canada landed easily as pick Ryan Fox won the tournament and Matt Wallace missed the cut. 

This week I’m going to the top end of the betting to back Jon Rahm to get the better of Rory McIlroy.

I expect Rahm to contend this week and his form looks rock solid with nine top 10s and a 14th in his last 10 starts.

McIlroy, by contrast, is struggling. He’s meddling with his driver and admits motivation has become a problem since he completed the Grand Slam.

Oakmont will sniff out any weaknesses and it wouldn’t be the biggest surprise if McIlroy doesn’t even make the weekend.

Rahm is a confident pick here at -125 with bet365. 

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English to Land Top 10

Harris English is a US Open specialist.

The five-time PGA Tour champion, who won the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines earlier this year, has made the top 10 in three of the last five US Opens.

He heads into this one having just finished runner-up in the PGA Championship so looks a great bet at +550 with bet365 to crash the top 10 once more.

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How to Watch the US Open 2025

• Tournament: US Open

• Location: Oakmont Country Club, Oakmont, PA

• Date: Thursday, June 12 - Sunday, June 15

• How to Watch: Thursday 6 a.m.-5 p.m. (USA), 5-8 p.m. (Peacock) ET, Friday 6.30 a.m.-1 p.m. (Peacock), 1-7 p.m. (NBC), 7-8 p.m. (Peacock). Saturday 10 a.m.-noon (USA), noon-8 p.m. (NBC), Sunday 9 a.m.-noon (USA), noon-7 p.m. (NBC). And all four days on Sky Sports.