With his back end excelling in coverage, Jacob deGrom is in a great position to put together a dominant performance as he faces off against a Houston Astros offense who struggles with getting into scoring position. Before their opening pitch takes place, we turn our attention towards the Baltimore Orioles and Chicago White Sox as a pair of productive arms are set to take the mound.
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With less than 15 games remaining in the regular season, the Houston Astros must avoid falling into a cold stretch of play as they are a 0.5 game back from Seattle for first place in the AL West division standings. Their struggles with getting into scoring position at a consistent rate has hurt their ability to compete as the Astros offense ranks below league average in Total Runs Scored and in RBIs.
Unfortunately for the Astros, their struggles on offense are poised to persist as they face off against Jacob deGrom who is currently averaging an ERA of 2.82, a WHIP of 0.916, and a FIP of 3.58. Especially when the former Cy Young winner is surrounded by the best back end in the league which helps reduce the amount of variance in his starts as the Texas Rangers defense ranks first overall in Defensive Efficiency.
As for Cristian Javier, positive regression looms large over the Astros pitcher as he is set to battle it out against a Rangers offense who ranks in the bottom half of the board in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage. Even though Javier is averaging an ERA of 4.78, he still excels at avoiding contact as he is also averaging less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched.
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After ranking dead last in most key offensive metrics last year, the Chicago White Sox offense have carried over their struggles into this season as their lineup ranks near the bottom of the board in Contact Rate, On Base Percentage, and in Slugger Percentage. Without support from their offense, the White Sox have failed to play at a competitive level as they possess the second worst record in the league.
In Wednesday night’s contest against Baltimore, the White Sox struggles on offense will be on full display as they face off against Tyler Wells who is currently averaging an ERA of 2.31 and a WHIP of 0.600. Even when supported by a defense who severely underwhelms in coverage, Wells has had no issue with neutralizing opposing offenses with just his arm as his FIP of 3.92 indicates.
On the other side of the field, Martin Perez is also in a favorable position to get off to a hot start as he faces off against an Orioles offense who ranks below league average in the same previously mentioned metrics. With Perez averaging less than one Hit Against per Inning Pitched, expect the Orioles to continue to struggle with making contact and be held scoreless in the first inning.
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Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies - Ryan Weathers vs. McCade Brown - The Miami Marlins will have a great opportunity to open up the scoring in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies as they face off against McCade Brown who is averaging over two runners on base per inning and a defense who ranks dead last in Defensive Efficiency.
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins - Luis Gil vs. Taj Bradley - With the New York Yankees ranking top-5 in Slugger Percentage and in On Base Percentage, expect Taj Bradley to continue to underwhelm on the mound as the Minnesota Twins pitcher is currently averaging an ERA of 4.88 and a FIP of 4.24.
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