Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Odds and Predictions (NFL Week 3)
John Breech of CBS Sports takes the under and predicts the score as Titans 16, Jaguars 13. My prediction is take the over, final score Titans 24, Jaguars 17.
Current Odds Listed for Week 3: Titans vs Jaguars
Check out the latest odds here, provided by New Jersey sportsbooks.
|Sportsbook||TEN Titans||JAX Jaguars|
|Fox Bet NJ||-125||+105|
|Sportsbook||TEN Titans||JAX Jaguars|
|Fox Bet NJ||-2|
|Fox Bet NJ||38.5|
How to Watch
What: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars
When: Thursday Night Football, September 19 at 8:20 p.m. ET
Where: TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida
How (TV): NFLN
Latest point spread: Titans -1.5, Jaguars +1.5
During the offseason, many football experts predicted that the Indianapolis Colts would dominate the AFC South, but now that their franchise quarterback Andrew Luck has unexpectedly retired, the division seems to be totally up for grabs.
Three of its four teams, including the Tennessee Titans, now sit at 1-1 while the Jacksonville Jaguars are the only winless ones, but that could change if the Jags’ talented rookie quarterback, Gardner Minshew, can quickly step into the starting role that was thrust upon him and defeat veteran Marcus Mariota’s hit-and-miss Titans on Thursday Night Football.
The 1-1-0 Tennessee Titans
The big scare in the Tennessee Titans’ loss to the Indianapolis Colts in Week 2 by a score of 17-19 was the quad injury that quarterback Marcus Mariota suffered at some point during the game.
Though it is not considered serious, the injury can’t be helpful to a quarterback trying to win a new deal, Mariota now playing on the fourth and final year of his rookie contract.
The Titans looked a lot better against the Cleveland Browns in Week 1 when they won handily 43-13, combining a solid run game with a relentless defense that was able to keep the talented looking Cleveland roster to just two touchdowns.
The 0-2-0 Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jacksonville Jaguars drew a tough opening schedule, having to face the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1, losing that game, 26-40, as well as their starting quarterback, Nick Foles, to a shoulder injury that required surgery.
With rookie Minshew under center, Jacksonville took on the Houston Texans in Week 2 and was close to winning that one but came up one point short, 12-13, and now in Week 3 they have to face their divisional rivals, the Tennessee Titans.
Despite their quarterback problems, the Jaguars offense is surprisingly ranked better (18th) than the Titans (27th), but they must face a tougher defense and do it in front of a hometown crowd that would love to see the team’s first 2019 win.
What’s at stake
These two teams have met 49 total times (including 1 postseason game), with Jacksonville winning 20 of those games and Tennessee winning 29 games.
The Titans have won the last four matchups between these two teams, including twice last season and twice the season before.
If the Titans win this matchup, they’ll be 2-1-0 and begin to take charge of the seemingly up-for-grabs AFC South.
But if the Jaguars are victorious, then they’ll go 1-2-0 (as would the Titans) and that will buy some more time for this Jacksonville team to prove that they can win regardless of who they start under center.
Questions to answer
Who’s favored to win this Week 3 Titans-Jaguars matchup?
Which team has a better offense? Defense? Special teams?
Which team’s quarterback is more likely to lead his team to victory?
We’re going to briefly compare the Titans and the Jaguars next and attempt to answer those questions and more.
Offensive Stats Comparison
Tennessee Titans Overall Offense
- Ranked 25th overall in 2018
- Ranked 27th overall in 2019
Passing attack: With Marcus Mariota at quarterback, the Tennessee Titans have the 27th ranked passing attack (that’s out of 32, mind you) after averaging just 167.5 yards through the air per game.
The Titans main receivers – Corey Davis, Tajae Sharpe and slot man Adam Humphries – only posted 154 yards worth of catches in Week 2 with no touchdowns, so they will have to be better against a tough Titans’ defense.
Tight end Delanie Walker has soft hands and was the leading receiver against the Colts last week, hauling in 4 catches for 39 yards.
Rushing attack: The Titans have a tough starting running back, Derrick Henry, who is tied for 6th most productive at his position after running the ball 34 times for 165 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Backing up Henry is Dion Lewis, who has only ran the ball 6 times for 16 yards and caught 4 balls for 11 yards.
With Henry starting in the backfield, the Titans’ rushing attack is currently ranked the 11th best in the league.
Tennessee Offensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 3: quarterback Marcus Mariota (quadriceps), wide receiver A.J. Brown (knee), guard Jamil Douglas (knee), running back David Fluellen (hamstring), guard Kevin Pamphile
Injury note: wide receiver Cameron Batson (undisclosed) and placekicker Ryan Succop (knee) have both been placed on the injured reserve list.
Jacksonville Jaguars Overall Offense
- Ranked 27th overall in 2018
- Ranked 18th overall in 2019
Passing attack: The good news is that rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew is actually pretty talented, so far completing 45-of-58 for 488 yards and 3 touchdowns and 1 interception with a respectable completion percentage of 77.6.
The Jaguar receiver corps – Marqise Lee, Dede Westbrook and tight end Geoff Swaim – are the 17th best in the league right now after posting 262.5 yards through the air per game.
Jacksonville’s offensive line does need to protect Minshew better, having already allowed him to be sacked 5 times.
Rushing attack: So far, Jaguars running back Leonard Fournette is only averaging 56.5 yards on the ground per game, ranked 22nd in the NFL at his position.
Rookie back Ryquell Armstead has been backing him up, but he’s only had one run for 7 yards in two games.
The Jaguars have averaged 19 points per game, which is the 20th most so far in the NFL’s 100th season.
Jacksonville offensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 3: wide receivers D.J. Chark (ankle), Marqise Lee (knee) and Chris Conley (hip) and tight end Josh Oliver (hamstring).
Injury notes: quarterback Nick Foles (collarbone), running back Alfred Blue (ankle), tackle Donnell Greene (undisclosed), tackle Ben Ijalana (elbow), running back Devante Mays (ankle), tackle K.C. McDermott (ankle), running back Taj McGowan (knee) and wide receiver Marcus Simms (concussion) have all been placed on injured reserve.
Both teams have quite a few offensive injuries, but the Titans have Derrick Henry and don’t have a rookie quarterback, so they have the advantage (at least for now).
Defensive Stats Comparison
Tennessee Titans Overall Defense
- Ranked 25th overall in 2018
- Ranked 11th overall in 2019
Pass coverage: The Titans have the second best pass coverage in the league, having allowed opponents to throw for just 182.5 yards per game.
Tennessee has already had 4 interceptions and 8 sacks, both tied for second best in the NFL, at least for now.
Run coverage: This is where the Titans are a bit weak on defense, ranked 26th in the league after allowing opponents to rush for an average of 134.5 yards per game.
The Titans have let opponents score 32 total points, and right now that’s 6th best in the NFL.
Titans Defensive Players to watch
For sure, watch strong safety Kenny Vaccaro, who has been highly effective in two games with 15 total tackles.
Linebacker Cameron Wake is a beast with 2.5 sacks already and 4 total tackles and a safety.
Keep your eye on cornerback Logan Ryan, he has been all over the place with 2 interceptions, 6 passes defended, 1.5 sacks and 12 tackles.
Titans defensive injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 3: linebacker Daren Bates (groin), cornerback Malcolm Butler (hip), safety Dane Cruikshank (ankle), linebacker Reggie Gilbert (knee), cornerback Chris Milton (collarbone) and linebacker Wesley Woodyard (quadriceps).
Injury notes: cornerback Josh Kalu (undisclosed) and linebackers D’Andre Walker (groin) and Jordan Williams (undisclosed) have all been placed on injured reserve.
Jacksonville Jaguars Overall Defense
- Ranked 28th overall in 2018
- Ranked 21st overall in 2019
Pass coverage: Jacksonville’s pass coverage is the 19th best in the league after allowing opponents to throw for 257.5 yards per game.
The Jags’ defense has no interceptions so far and 4 total sacks.
Run coverage: The Jaguars defense allows opponents to run for an average of 119.5 yards per game, ranked 17th in the NFL in that category.
Jacksonville has allowed opponents to score 53 total points so far, the 7th most out of all 32 teams.
Jaguars Defensive Players to watch
Jags’ defensive back Ronnie Harrison has been active, with 14 total tackles and a sack.
Cornerback D.J. Hayden has also been busy, posting a sack and 7 total tackles himself.
Jacksonville’s defense has no interceptions yet, but last season cornerback Jalen Ramsey had 3 and, given his recent request to be traded, he will most likely find some picks in this game to help increase his current value.
Jaguars Defensive Injuries
Listed as questionable for Week 3: linebacker D.J. Alexander (hamstring), cornerback A.J. Bouye (hip), safety Ronnie Harrison (ankle), defensive end Yannick Ngakoue (hamstring) and safety Josh Robinson (foot).
Injury note linebacker James Onwualu (knee) has been placed on injured reserve.
The Titans have a better defense than the Jaguars, especially given that Jalen Ramsey doesn’t even want to be in Jacksonville anymore.
Special Teams Stats Comparison
Tennessee’s punter, Brett Kern, is in his thirteenth NFL season (with the Titans since 2009) and so far he has punted 12 times this season for a net average of 42.1 yards per punt, which was T-15th best in the league.
Jacksonville’s punter, Logan Cooke, is in his second NFL season, both with the Jaguars, and this season he has punted 8 times for a net average of 47.4 yards per punt, which was the 2nd best in the league.
Tennessee’s placekicker, Cairo Santos, is in his seventh NFL season, his first with the Titans.
Santos has made 3-of-4 field goals so far this season, his longest a 53 yarder, and so far, he has missed zero extra point attempts (7/7).
Jacksonville’s placekicker, Josh Lambo, is in his fifth NFL season, third with the Jaguars.
Lambo has made 4-of-4 field goals so far this season, his longest a 40 yarder, and he has missed zero extra point attempts (2/2).
Tennessee’s punt returner, cornerback Adoree Jackson, is ranked 6th in average punt return yardage this season.
Jackson has returned 2 punts for 26 yards, averaging 13.0 yards per return.
Jacksonville’s punt returner, wide receiver Dede Westbrook, is ranked 34th in punt return average in 2019.
Westbrook has returned 2 punts for 3 yards, averaging 1.5 yards per return.
Special Team Advantage
Since both placekickers are about equal at this point, the edge here goes to the Titans, mainly because the Jaguars’ punter is much newer and will most likely be used a lot more than Tennessee’s punter.
Final Game Analysis
Why will the Titans win this game?
The Tennessee Titans will win this game because at this point they are better at all three aspects of the game and they are not being led by a rookie.
Plus, the Titans have won their last four matchups, so it will be no problem coming to Florida and snatching a win in front of someone else’s home crow.
Marcus Mariota is talented and desperate to prove he is worthy of a big franchise contract, so expect him to rise above his capabilities (and sore quad) to snag this divisional win.
Why will the Jaguars win this game?
It would be a big mistake to count these Jacksonville Jaguars out just because they have ended up with a rookie quarterback, seeing as how this kid can really play.
The Jaguars are at home and they came close to tasting victory last week and the hunger remains strong enough to find a win here, that is if they can keep running back Derrick Henry to less than 50 yards on the day and keep the sore Mariota on his heels.
Jacksonville can win if head coach Doug Marrone can get the veterans to buy into his rookie-led game plan, especially key playmakers like Ramsey and Westbrook.
This Game Goes to the
The Tennessee Titans by a touchdown, 24-17
Titans vs Jaguars Game Prediction
John Breech of CBS Sports takes the under and predicts the score as Titans 16, Jaguars 13
My prediction is take the over, final score Titans 24, Jaguars 17